IowaHawkBlog's Marble Game through Week 8

And then there were 10.  Two more undefeated teams went down, with the biggest obviously being Wisconsin who were in 6th place last week.  They had only given up 29 points TOTAL on the season going into that game!  Illinois's win moves them up 47 spots to 48th place and drops Wisconsin to 14th.  All the remaining teams in the top 10 won ('cept ND who was on a bye and therefore dropped to 12th).  The PAC-12 finally has a contender in the top 10 with Oregon climbing in and Utah on the bubble.

App St and SMU continue to climb as the remaining undefeated teams of the G5.  Both are in the top 25 but need some better matchups if they hope to catch the top end of the table.

I've added a couple tables to the bottom of the page here.  I have calculated the average rank of all opponents played to this point for each team.  You could perhaps use this as an analog for Quality of Schedule played so far.  I also then calculate and report the average rank of all opponents played across all teams in each conference, and the average rank of all the teams in each conference.  These seem to show that the SEC plays easy schedules, and has the broadest distribution of quality of any conference, while the PAC-12 plays the hardest schedules (partly thanks to non-conf games) and is the "flattest" conference in terms of quality top-to-bottom.

I think the game I'm the most interested in this week is Auburn vs LSU.  I've maintained for the last few weeks that Auburn has put in one of the best cumulative performance of all FBS teams even with their one loss.  That doesn't necessarily translate into them being as good as LSU, but just that they've had that type performance to this point.  My calculations on my other ranking system say that as of last week they'd played the 2nd hardest schedule of any team to this point.  That slipped somewhat this week, to 15th, with their game against Arkansas.  Considering that LSU was ranked as the 2nd AP last week it'll be interesting to see who really is the better team.

Some big games this week: Auburn at LSU (111 vs 63 marble gain potential), Wisconsin at Ohio St (113 vs 60), Oklahoma at K-St (51 vs 81), and Notre Dame at Michigan (63 vs 66).
I think this is the first week where any matchup has the potential to reward a team with >100 marbles.

I'm again going to assume that all our readers know the basic rules of the Marble Game now, but if you don't please see one of the first few posts of this season where the rules are listed. As always, if you have any feedback or see any issues feel free to reach out to the commissioner, David Burge (@IowaHawkBlog) or myself (@NateEMiller) on Twitter.

RankTeamWLConfMarblesChange
1Clemson 7 0 ACC 493 0, +64
2Penn State 7 0 B10 452 +2, +63
3Ohio State 7 0 B10 450 -1, +21
4LSU 7 0 SEC 445 -1, +35
5Baylor 7 0 B12 416 +3, +56
6Alabama 7 0 SEC 407 -1, +20
7Oklahoma 7 0 B12 405 0, +29
8Oregon 6 1 PAC 393 +6, +79
9Florida 7 1 SEC 370 +3, +53
10Minnesota 7 0 B10 356 -1, +16
11Utah 6 1 PAC 344 +6, +63
12Notre Dame 5 1 IND 329 -2, 0
13Auburn 6 1 SEC 315 +3, +21
14Wisconsin 6 1 B10 302 -8, -75
15SMU 7 0 AAC 297 +7, +41
16Wake Forest 6 1 ACC 295 +3, +33
17Georgia 6 1 SEC 288 +3, +28
18Iowa State 5 2 B12 263 +9, +39
19Pittsburgh 5 2 ACC 256 +9, +32
20Texas 5 2 B12 256 +4, +19
21Arizona St. 5 2 PAC 254 -10, -63
22Michigan 5 2 B10 251 -9, -63
23App. St. 6 0 SUN 249 +2, +15
24Wash. 5 3 PAC 235 -9, -79
25Virginia 5 2 ACC 229 +10, +37
26Iowa 5 2 B10 220 +8, +24
27USC 4 3 PAC 216 +14, +45
28Missouri 5 2 SEC 212 -10, -53
29Cincinnati 6 1 AAC 211 +4, +13
30Kansas St. 4 2 B12 203 +12, +35
31Virginia Tech 5 2 ACC 202 +9, +30
32Boise State 6 1 MWC 200 -9, -50
33Indiana 5 2 B10 198 +12, +35
34Louisville 4 3 ACC 193 -13, -64
35Memphis 6 1 AAC 191 +11, +29
36Arizona 4 3 PAC 181 -10, -45
37San Diego St. 6 1 MWC 177 +14, +22
38Air Force 5 2 MWC 175 +19, +35
39BC 4 3 ACC 170 +23, +36
40Mich. St. 4 3 B10 167 +3, 0
41BYU 3 4 IND 166 +30, +50
42Oklahoma St. 4 3 B12 166 -13, -56
43Temple 5 2 AAC 164 -11, -41
44Navy 5 1 AAC 163 +9, +17
45Georgia St. 5 2 SUN 159 +9, +14
46Nebraska 4 3 B10 159 +2, 0
47S. Carolina 3 4 SEC 159 -17, -53
48Illinois 3 4 B10 157 +47, +75
49Stanford 3 4 PAC 154 -18, -51
50LA Tech 6 1 USA 149 +14, +21
51Duke 4 3 ACC 148 -14, -37
52Texas A&M 4 3 SEC 146 +18, +28
53Wash. St. 4 3 PAC 146 +19, +32
54NC State 4 3 ACC 145 -16, -36
55California 4 3 PAC 142 -19, -48
56UCLA 2 5 PAC 140 +32, +51
57W. Kentucky 5 2 USA 140 +6, +9
58TCU 3 3 B12 139 -19, -35
59Oregon St. 3 4 PAC 138 +28, +48
60Florida St. 3 4 ACC 133 -16, -33
61UAB 6 1 USA 132 +5, +6
62Colorado 3 4 PAC 129 -15, -32
63Utah State 4 2 MWC 127 +15, +24
64UCF 5 2 AAC 122 +12, +12
65Wyoming 5 2 MWC 121 +9, +9
66Miami (FL) 3 4 ACC 118 -17, -39
67N. Carolina 3 4 ACC 118 -15, -30
68Texas Tech 3 4 B12 118 -18, -39
69E. Mich. 4 3 MID 116 +12, +19
70UL Lafayette 5 2 SUN 116 +14, +21
71Tulane 5 2 AAC 116 -16, -29
72W. Virginia 3 4 B12 116 -16, -29
73Ball State 4 3 MID 114 +13, +24
74Vanderbilt 2 5 SEC 114 +31, +53
75C. Mich. 5 3 MID 112 +8, +17
76Kentucky 3 4 SEC 111 -17, -28
77Hawaii 4 3 MWC 104 -19, -35
78Maryland 3 4 B10 104 -18, -35
79Miss. St. 3 4 SEC 104 -18, -35
80Georgia Tech 2 5 ACC 102 +23, +39
81Liberty 5 2 IND 101 -1, 0
82Toledo 4 3 MID 98 -15, -24
83Nevada 4 3 MWC 97 -15, -24
84Purdue 2 5 B10 96 -15, -24
85Syracuse 3 4 ACC 94 -20, -32
86Marshall 4 3 USA 93 +16, +28
87S. Miss. 4 3 USA 86 -10, -21
88Ole Miss 3 5 SEC 85 -15, -28
89Florida Atl. 4 3 USA 82 -14, -28
90Tennessee 2 5 SEC 82 -11, -20
91W. Michigan 4 4 MID 77 -9, -19
92Florida Int. 4 3 USA 75 +7, +7
93Kansas 2 5 B12 75 -8, -19
94Georgia So. 3 3 SUN 74 +13, +16
95S. Florida 3 4 AAC 69 -5, -17
96Fresno St. 3 3 MWC 67 +14, +11
97Miami (OH) 3 4 MID 67 +14, +11
98Coastal Caro. 3 4 SUN 66 -4, -16
99San Jose St. 3 4 MWC 65 -10, -22
100Arkansas 2 5 SEC 64 -9, -21
101Arkansas St. 3 4 SUN 64 -9, -21
102Ohio 3 4 MID 64 +15, +14
103Northwestern 1 5 B10 63 -10, -21
104Buffalo 3 4 MID 62 +5, +6
105Houston 3 4 AAC 59 +9, +7
106UL Monroe 3 4 SUN 58 -10, -15
107Troy 3 3 SUN 58 +8, +6
108Army 3 4 IND 56 -11, -14
109North Texas 3 4 USA 56 +9, +10
110Kent State 3 4 MID 54 -10, -14
111Texas State 2 4 SUN 54 +2, 0
112Tulsa 2 5 AAC 54 -11, -13
113Bowling Grn 2 5 MID 52 -15, -17
114UTSA 3 4 USA 49 +5, +4
115E. Carolina 3 4 AAC 48 -9, -12
116Rutgers 1 6 B10 47 -12, -16
117UNLV 2 5 MWC 46 -9, -11
118N. Illinois 2 5 MID 44 -6, -11
119Colorado St. 2 5 MWC 43 +2, 0
120Mid. Tenn. 2 5 USA 40 -4, -10
121Charlotte 2 5 USA 35 -1, -9
122New Mexico 2 5 MWC 34 0, -9
123UTEP 1 5 USA 29 0, -7
124UMASS 1 6 MID 27 +3, 0
125Old Dominion 1 6 USA 23 0, -6
126Connecticut 1 6 AAC 22 -2, -7
127S. Alabama 1 6 SUN 22 -1, -6
128Rice 0 7 USA 18 +1, -4
129NM St. 0 7 IND 17 +1, 0
130Akron 0 7 MID 16 -2, -6


Average rank of all opponents played per team:
N. Carolina 37.7
Florida St. 38.3
USC 38.4
UCLA 38.6
Northwestern 44.8
Louisville 45.1
Colorado 45.9
Tennessee 46.9
Purdue 47.3
Rutgers 47.4
: :
: :
UTEP 95.8
W. Kentucky 96.0
Florida Int. 96.7
App. St. 98.8
LA Tech 99.3
Troy 100.7
Georgia St. 104.3
UMASS 105.4
Liberty 110.3
UAB 116.0


Average rank of all teams per conference:
PAC 38.4
B12 41.3
B10 44.6
ACC 44.9
SEC 48.8
AAC 71.2
IND 74.2
MWC 79.0
SUN 88.2
USA 97.3
MID 99.1


Average rank of all opponents played per conference:
PAC 56.2
ACC 63.2
B10 63.3
B12 63.3
SEC 65.2
IND 73.3
AAC 78.0
MWC 81.4
MID 84.1
SUN 84.3
USA 87.4

Comments

  1. Great stuff, are you starting predictions this week or next?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I don't actually do any predictions based on the MarbleGame. I will leave that up to David Burge. I do do predictions based on my other rankings system that I invented (NEMindex). I will be publishing the first set of those for the season today I think.

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