2018 - NEMindex Rankings through Week 6

I know a lot of you are new here, I'm getting a lot of new viewers every week, so I just want to recap. This system, which I've been working on for ~8 years, is entirely data-driven and uses a set of metrics I've identified to measure the actual performance of all of the teams simultaneously and rank them all against each other using a multi-regression technique. If a team comes up higher than seems logical, it's not because I think they're that good, it's because something in their performance is saying they are probably better than what we are realizing yet. It may also be anomalous and they won't keep it up and will plummet in the following week. Read more here.

Now the numbers. Despite ND having the more impressive individual win this week, they slip to 2nd behind Georgia. Georgia, can likely thank Utah for this (in part at least). Utah's win at Stanford lowered the impressiveness of ND's wins by enough that despite their win over VT, they don't look as good perhaps as we thought. LSU fell a few spots with their loss, which resulted in Florida making a big move into 10th. Alabama is still just hanging around while they play through some easier portions of their schedule and continue to win.

Utah was the biggest upward mover on the week with a +39 moving them to a tie with Colorado at 31st. Colorado is 5-0 and the last undefeated team in the PAC12 but their schedule has been pretty easy thus far (3rd easiest in FBS). Look for them to be tested vs USC this week.  Michigan St had the biggest fall (-43) after losing at home to NW (oof).

As always, please feel free to engage with me on social media (@NateEMiller) or to comment here. I'd love to answer questions about the system or why teams are where they are or what my opinions are compared to what they data says is demonstrable.

RankTeamWLConfRTPSChange
1Georgia 6 0 SEC 1.000 +3
2Notre Dame 6 0 IND 0.993 -1
3Clemson 6 0 ACC 0.954 +2
4Alabama 6 0 SEC 0.948 -1
5LSU 5 1 SEC 0.893 -3
6Ohio State 6 0 B10 0.878 +3
7Kentucky 5 1 SEC 0.853 -1
8NC State 5 0 ACC 0.841 -1
9Texas 5 1 B12 0.837 +10
10Florida 5 1 SEC 0.820 +21
11W. Virginia 5 0 B12 0.807 +1
12Oklahoma 5 1 B12 0.803 -1
13Michigan 5 1 B10 0.800 +13
14Army 3 2 IND 0.794 0
15Duke 4 1 ACC 0.791 +3
16Penn State 4 1 B10 0.786 +7
17UCF 5 0 AAC 0.782 +5
18S. Carolina 3 2 SEC 0.769 -3
19S. Florida 5 0 AAC 0.760 -3
20Iowa 4 1 B10 0.743 +26
21Wisconsin 4 1 B10 0.741 +3
22Stanford 4 2 PAC 0.734 -12
23Miami (FL) 5 1 ACC 0.731 +6
24Wash. 5 1 PAC 0.729 -7
25Cincinnati 6 0 AAC 0.706 +11
26Texas Tech 3 2 B12 0.693 +1
27San Diego St. 4 1 MWC 0.690 +15
28Fresno St. 4 1 MWC 0.682 +23
29UAB 4 1 USA 0.676 +36
30Coastal Caro. 3 2 SUN 0.673 +23
31Colorado 5 0 PAC 0.672 +17
32Utah 3 2 PAC 0.672 +39
33Miss. St. 4 2 SEC 0.666 +25
34Utah State 4 1 MWC 0.665 +29
35Troy 5 1 SUN 0.662 +3
36Maryland 3 2 B10 0.653 -16
37Boise State 3 2 MWC 0.653 -24
38Wash. St. 5 1 PAC 0.642 +3
39USC 3 2 PAC 0.638 +8
40Ole Miss 4 2 SEC 0.635 +3
41Texas A&M 4 2 SEC 0.635 +21
42Georgia So. 4 1 SUN 0.634 +3
43Oregon 4 1 PAC 0.628 -6
44Buffalo 5 1 MID 0.624 +11
45North Texas 5 1 USA 0.623 -11
46Syracuse 4 2 ACC 0.622 -21
47Auburn 4 2 SEC 0.620 -17
48Vanderbilt 3 3 SEC 0.613 -9
49Hawaii 6 1 MWC 0.612 +3
50Houston 4 1 AAC 0.611 +10
51Mich. St. 3 2 B10 0.611 -43
52App. St. 3 1 SUN 0.608 +4
53Indiana 4 2 B10 0.607 -25
54Missouri 3 2 SEC 0.603 -19
55Minnesota 3 2 B10 0.594 -11
56Virginia Tech 3 2 ACC 0.593 -23
57TCU 3 2 B12 0.592 +4
58LA Tech 3 2 USA 0.592 -26
59Baylor 4 2 B12 0.591 +5
60Mid. Tenn. 3 2 USA 0.589 +15
61Virginia 3 2 ACC 0.588 -4
62Oklahoma St. 4 2 B12 0.586 -41
63BC 4 2 ACC 0.563 -14
64W. Michigan 4 2 MID 0.556 +8
65Iowa State 2 3 B12 0.554 +15
66Arizona St. 3 3 PAC 0.551 -12
67Arkansas St. 3 2 SUN 0.549 0
68BYU 3 3 IND 0.541 -18
69Temple 3 3 AAC 0.539 -1
70Toledo 3 2 MID 0.537 +4
71Marshall 3 2 USA 0.518 -12
72California 3 2 PAC 0.516 -32
73Illinois 3 2 B10 0.515 +6
74Florida Int. 3 2 USA 0.509 -4
75Northwestern 2 3 B10 0.505 +23
76Wake Forest 3 3 ACC 0.502 -10
77Georgia Tech 3 3 ACC 0.499 +9
78Florida Atl. 3 3 USA 0.499 +9
79Ohio 3 2 MID 0.499 +2
80New Mexico 3 2 MWC 0.497 +12
81Pittsburgh 3 3 ACC 0.495 +12
82Tennessee 2 3 SEC 0.492 -4
83Florida St. 3 3 ACC 0.490 -14
84Memphis 4 2 AAC 0.490 -8
85Tulane 2 4 AAC 0.467 -8
86Arizona 3 3 PAC 0.461 +15
87Kansas St. 2 4 B12 0.448 +1
88N. Illinois 3 3 MID 0.444 +16
89Nevada 3 3 MWC 0.429 0
90Liberty 2 3 IND 0.423 -17
91Purdue 2 3 B10 0.422 -6
92UL Lafayette 2 3 SUN 0.415 +16
93E. Mich. 2 4 MID 0.410 +1
94SMU 2 4 AAC 0.407 +1
95Miami (OH) 2 4 MID 0.405 +14
96Air Force 2 3 MWC 0.405 +22
97Wyoming 2 4 MWC 0.390 -7
98Georgia St. 2 4 SUN 0.389 +1
99Colorado St. 2 4 MWC 0.389 +4
100E. Carolina 2 3 AAC 0.387 -17
101Kansas 2 4 B12 0.372 +1
102S. Miss. 2 2 USA 0.363 -5
103UMASS 2 5 MID 0.356 +2
104UNLV 2 3 MWC 0.355 -13
105Navy 2 3 AAC 0.355 -23
106Akron 2 2 MID 0.347 -22
107UTSA 3 3 USA 0.345 +10
108Louisville 2 4 ACC 0.334 -12
109UCLA 0 5 PAC 0.333 +1
110UL Monroe 2 4 SUN 0.327 -3
111Charlotte 2 3 USA 0.323 +2
112NM St. 2 4 IND 0.320 +15
113Tulsa 1 4 AAC 0.318 +2
114N. Carolina 1 3 ACC 0.314 -3
115Connecticut 1 5 AAC 0.309 -15
116Arkansas 1 5 SEC 0.296 +4
117S. Alabama 1 5 SUN 0.285 -1
118Ball State 2 4 MID 0.274 -12
119Oregon St. 1 5 PAC 0.263 +5
120Nebraska 0 5 B10 0.259 +6
121W. Kentucky 1 4 USA 0.257 -7
122Old Dominion 1 5 USA 0.246 -10
123C. Mich. 1 5 MID 0.246 -1
124Rutgers 1 5 B10 0.232 -5
125Kent State 1 5 MID 0.231 0
126Rice 1 5 USA 0.210 -5
127San Jose St. 0 5 MWC 0.203 -4
128Bowling Grn 1 5 MID 0.197 0
129Texas State 1 4 SUN 0.088 0
130UTEP 0 6 USA 0.000 0


Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
UCLA 24.0
S. Carolina 28.0
Nebraska 38.2
Army 42.0
Stanford 45.7
Vanderbilt 50.2
Iowa State 51.4
LSU 51.5
USC 51.8
Maryland 54.8
: :
: :
UTEP 96.8
UTSA 99.5
UCF 99.8
Hawaii 99.9
Cincinnati 102.3
North Texas 103.2
S. Miss. 103.5
Colorado 105.0
Memphis 108.5
Texas State 114.2


Average Rank per Conference:
SEC 36.1
B12 48.9
B10 53.9
PAC 56.8
IND 57.2
ACC 58.1
MWC 72.3
AAC 73.0
SUN 77.2
USA 88.1
MID 95.1


Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
SEC 59.7
IND 62.9
B12 66.8
B10 67.3
PAC 70.6
ACC 74.5
MID 80.1
SUN 80.3
MWC 82.4
AAC 84.0
USA 86.2

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