Man I am struggling with predictions this season. I was so good 2-3 years ago. I'm not sure what happened. Only 43% last week across all games. 46% across games with a decent confidence.
I really got to quit putting my faith in PAC12 games, that whole conference is so flat anybody can beat anybody on any given week.
Here are this weeks numbers and thoughts:
- A lot of really high spreads, lots of teams playing easy opponents this week
- Michigan State will beat the overrated Buckeyes at home
- Notre Dame will sail
- Washington State will hold their lead in the PAC12 North
- I have no faith in Utah's chances after losing Huntley for the season
Largest Spread of the Week
Tightest Spread of the Week
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
I really got to quit putting my faith in PAC12 games, that whole conference is so flat anybody can beat anybody on any given week.
Here are this weeks numbers and thoughts:
- A lot of really high spreads, lots of teams playing easy opponents this week
- Michigan State will beat the overrated Buckeyes at home
- Notre Dame will sail
- Washington State will hold their lead in the PAC12 North
- I have no faith in Utah's chances after losing Huntley for the season
| Away | Home | Vegas | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miss. State | Alabama | -24.5 | -8.4 | 1.8 |
| Ohio State | Michigan St | 3.5 | -5.2 | 1.8 |
| Auburn | Georgia | -14.0 | -15.6 | 2.2 |
| Florida State | Notre Dame | -17.5 | -22.1 | 6.0 |
| Washington St | Colorado | 6.0 | 16.4 | 11.0 |
| Oregon | Utah | -3.5 | -11.8 | 0.4 |
| Away | Home | Vegas | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio | Miami (OH) | 3.5 | 11.8 | 4.4 |
| Toledo | N. Illinois | -3.0 | -6.7 | 0.8 |
| Wake Forest | NC State | -17.0 | -30.2 | 2.2 |
| Louisville | Syracuse | -21.0 | -31.1 | 1.6 |
| Fresno State | Boise State | 3.0 | -1.3 | 1.2 |
| Kansas | Kansas State | -12.0 | -7.7 | 0.2 |
| TCU | West Virginia | -12.5 | -27.8 | 4.1 |
| Tulsa | Memphis | -15.5 | -18.6 | 3.1 |
| Vanderbilt | Missouri | -17.0 | -13.4 | 1.7 |
| Ole Miss | Texas A&M | -11.5 | -10.0 | 2.5 |
| Navy | UCF | -25.5 | -40.6 | 1.8 |
| Illinois | Nebraska | -17.0 | -2.7 | 0.6 |
| Akron | E.Michigan | -13.0 | -6.8 | 4.4 |
| SMU | Connecticut | 19.5 | 13.9 | 0.5 |
| Wisconsin | Penn State | -8.0 | -12.1 | 2.3 |
| S. Carolina | Florida | -6.5 | -2.8 | 2.7 |
| Maryland | Indiana | -2.5 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| BYU | Massachusetts | 14.0 | 2.9 | 0.7 |
| N. Carolina | Duke | -10.5 | -25.1 | 13.2 |
| Troy | Ga. Southern | -1.0 | -9.8 | 2.4 |
| UCLA | Arizona State | -12.5 | -21.6 | 0.9 |
| Charlotte | Marshall | -14.5 | -14.5 | 1.2 |
| Middle Tenn. | UTEP | 13.5 | 18.8 | 6.2 |
| Liberty | Virginia | -23.5 | -17.1 | 2.0 |
| Bowling Grn | C. Michigan | -7.0 | -2.7 | 2.2 |
| Baylor | Iowa State | -14.5 | -17.7 | 0.6 |
| Purdue | Minnesota | 12.0 | 12.1 | 9.8 |
| New Mexico | Air Force | -13.5 | -5.5 | 0.2 |
| Oklahoma St | Oklahoma | -18.0 | -31.1 | 7.1 |
| Northwestern | Iowa | -10.0 | -4.9 | 4.9 |
| North Texas | Old Dominion | 14.5 | 25.0 | 5.3 |
| Virginia Tech | Pittsburgh | -3.0 | -11.5 | 6.6 |
| Michigan | Rutgers | 39.0 | 33.4 | 1.7 |
| Kentucky | Tennessee | 6.0 | 18.1 | 5.7 |
| East Carolina | Tulane | -13.5 | -14.0 | 1.2 |
| San Jose State | Utah State | -31.0 | -35.0 | 2.1 |
| App. St. | Texas St. | 20.5 | 24.8 | 2.8 |
| Georgia State | Louisiana | -14.0 | -16.5 | 1.2 |
| UL-Monroe | S. Alabama | 5.5 | -1.1 | 9.5 |
| Arkansas St | CCU | 6.5 | -9.5 | 1.0 |
| W. Kentucky | FAU | -20.0 | -18.7 | 1.9 |
| Rice | Louisiana Tech | -25.0 | -30.0 | 1.2 |
| FIU | UTSA | 10.5 | 7.9 | 5.5 |
| Temple | Houston | -4.5 | -11.1 | 1.1 |
| South Florida | Cincinnati | -12.5 | -12.3 | 1.3 |
| Miami (FL) | Georgia Tech | -3.5 | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| Southern Miss | UAB | -12.0 | -29.7 | 1.9 |
| Texas | Texas Tech | 1.5 | -0.8 | 2.0 |
| LSU | Arkansas | 13.5 | 27.9 | 3.7 |
| Clemson | Boston College | 20.0 | 4.3 | 0.9 |
| Oregon State | Stanford | -24.0 | -23.2 | 2.6 |
| UNLV | San Diego St. | -22.5 | -27.0 | 12.3 |
| Colorado State | Nevada | -14.0 | -18.9 | 3.4 |
| California | USC | -5.5 | -8.7 | 4.3 |
Largest Spread of the Week
| Navy | UCF | -25.5 | -40.6 | 1.8 |
|---|
Tightest Spread of the Week
| Texas | Texas Tech | 1.5 | -0.8 | 2.0 |
|---|
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| North Carolina | Duke | -10.5 | -25.1 | 13.2 |
|---|
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| New Mexico | Air Force | -13.5 | -5.5 | 0.2 |
|---|
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