And so returns the curse of Utah's road games in November. Every year they're looking good in October, it all comes crashing down in November and we're left in the same position. And now with Huntley breaking his collar bone, I don't have high hopes for the home stretch.
Alabama passed their first big test with flying colors (were we really in doubt?) and gets the bump to 1st. LSU only dropped to 5th, cause honestly, getting beat by Alabama doesn't really mean you're not still really good, they're just flawless. Notre Dame slid another spot as they're stuck in the easier part of their schedule and not getting a lot of help even when they win.
The biggest upward movers of the week are Missouri for their win over Florida and Tulane for their upset at S. Florida. USF and Houston both fell 21 spots (tied for the farthest this week), which sure doesn't help UCF's bid to maintaining respect down the road here.
Utah fell 15 spots to 34th, leaving Washington State (12th) as the only PAC12 team in the top 25.
As always thanks for being here and please let me know if you have feedback or see issues (@NateEMiller). For those that are here for the first time, this system is entirely data-driven and uses a set of metrics I've identified to measure the actual performance of all of the teams simultaneously and rank them all against each other using a multi-regression technique. If a team comes up higher than seems logical, it's not because I think they're that good, it's because something in their performance is saying they are probably better than what we realize. You can find more details here.
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
Average Rank per Conference:
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
Alabama passed their first big test with flying colors (were we really in doubt?) and gets the bump to 1st. LSU only dropped to 5th, cause honestly, getting beat by Alabama doesn't really mean you're not still really good, they're just flawless. Notre Dame slid another spot as they're stuck in the easier part of their schedule and not getting a lot of help even when they win.
The biggest upward movers of the week are Missouri for their win over Florida and Tulane for their upset at S. Florida. USF and Houston both fell 21 spots (tied for the farthest this week), which sure doesn't help UCF's bid to maintaining respect down the road here.
Utah fell 15 spots to 34th, leaving Washington State (12th) as the only PAC12 team in the top 25.
As always thanks for being here and please let me know if you have feedback or see issues (@NateEMiller). For those that are here for the first time, this system is entirely data-driven and uses a set of metrics I've identified to measure the actual performance of all of the teams simultaneously and rank them all against each other using a multi-regression technique. If a team comes up higher than seems logical, it's not because I think they're that good, it's because something in their performance is saying they are probably better than what we realize. You can find more details here.
| Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | RTPS | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 9 | 0 | SEC | 1.000 | +2 |
| 2 | Georgia | 8 | 1 | SEC | 0.962 | +2 |
| 3 | Clemson | 9 | 0 | ACC | 0.919 | -2 |
| 4 | Michigan | 8 | 1 | B10 | 0.892 | +2 |
| 5 | LSU | 7 | 2 | SEC | 0.880 | -3 |
| 6 | Notre Dame | 9 | 0 | IND | 0.864 | -1 |
| 7 | UCF | 8 | 0 | AAC | 0.785 | +3 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 8 | 1 | B12 | 0.784 | +1 |
| 9 | W. Virginia | 7 | 1 | B12 | 0.755 | +2 |
| 10 | Kentucky | 7 | 2 | SEC | 0.746 | -3 |
| 11 | Miss. St. | 6 | 3 | SEC | 0.707 | +13 |
| 12 | Wash. St. | 8 | 1 | PAC | 0.702 | +3 |
| 13 | Fresno St. | 8 | 1 | MWC | 0.697 | -1 |
| 14 | Army | 7 | 2 | IND | 0.694 | -1 |
| 15 | UAB | 8 | 1 | USA | 0.688 | -1 |
| 16 | Florida | 6 | 3 | SEC | 0.687 | -8 |
| 17 | NC State | 6 | 2 | ACC | 0.675 | -1 |
| 18 | Utah State | 8 | 1 | MWC | 0.674 | +9 |
| 19 | Ohio State | 8 | 1 | B10 | 0.671 | -1 |
| 20 | Buffalo | 8 | 1 | MID | 0.665 | +3 |
| 21 | Mich. St. | 6 | 3 | B10 | 0.658 | +15 |
| 22 | Iowa State | 5 | 3 | B12 | 0.656 | -1 |
| 23 | App. St. | 6 | 2 | SUN | 0.650 | +12 |
| 24 | S. Carolina | 5 | 3 | SEC | 0.649 | +10 |
| 25 | Boise State | 7 | 2 | MWC | 0.646 | +3 |
| 26 | Syracuse | 7 | 2 | ACC | 0.645 | +3 |
| 27 | BC | 7 | 2 | ACC | 0.637 | +3 |
| 28 | Missouri | 5 | 4 | SEC | 0.635 | +27 |
| 29 | Cincinnati | 8 | 1 | AAC | 0.631 | +4 |
| 30 | Penn State | 6 | 3 | B10 | 0.627 | -5 |
| 31 | Purdue | 5 | 4 | B10 | 0.622 | +16 |
| 32 | Iowa | 6 | 3 | B10 | 0.620 | -15 |
| 33 | Georgia So. | 7 | 2 | SUN | 0.616 | -13 |
| 34 | Utah | 6 | 3 | PAC | 0.613 | -15 |
| 35 | Texas | 6 | 3 | B12 | 0.604 | -9 |
| 36 | Duke | 6 | 3 | ACC | 0.602 | +12 |
| 37 | San Diego St. | 7 | 2 | MWC | 0.599 | +7 |
| 38 | North Texas | 7 | 2 | USA | 0.595 | +4 |
| 39 | Auburn | 6 | 3 | SEC | 0.593 | +11 |
| 40 | Wash. | 7 | 3 | PAC | 0.590 | 0 |
| 41 | Troy | 7 | 2 | SUN | 0.587 | +2 |
| 42 | Texas A&M | 5 | 4 | SEC | 0.586 | -11 |
| 43 | Houston | 7 | 2 | AAC | 0.571 | -21 |
| 44 | Virginia | 6 | 3 | ACC | 0.567 | -12 |
| 45 | Stanford | 5 | 4 | PAC | 0.560 | -4 |
| 46 | Pittsburgh | 5 | 4 | ACC | 0.558 | +17 |
| 47 | LA Tech | 6 | 3 | USA | 0.557 | -10 |
| 48 | Northwestern | 5 | 4 | B10 | 0.556 | -3 |
| 49 | Ohio | 6 | 3 | MID | 0.535 | +17 |
| 50 | Arizona St. | 5 | 4 | PAC | 0.530 | +22 |
| 51 | N. Illinois | 6 | 3 | MID | 0.529 | +9 |
| 52 | Texas Tech | 5 | 4 | B12 | 0.528 | -13 |
| 53 | Mid. Tenn. | 6 | 3 | USA | 0.526 | -1 |
| 54 | Ole Miss | 5 | 4 | SEC | 0.526 | -5 |
| 55 | Wisconsin | 6 | 3 | B10 | 0.524 | -4 |
| 56 | S. Florida | 7 | 2 | AAC | 0.522 | -18 |
| 57 | Miami (FL) | 5 | 4 | ACC | 0.498 | -11 |
| 58 | Oregon | 6 | 3 | PAC | 0.493 | +6 |
| 59 | Tennessee | 4 | 5 | SEC | 0.490 | +14 |
| 60 | Temple | 5 | 4 | AAC | 0.489 | -7 |
| 61 | Coastal Caro. | 5 | 4 | SUN | 0.488 | -5 |
| 62 | Vanderbilt | 4 | 5 | SEC | 0.485 | -1 |
| 63 | Toledo | 5 | 4 | MID | 0.479 | +2 |
| 64 | Marshall | 5 | 3 | USA | 0.472 | -6 |
| 65 | USC | 5 | 4 | PAC | 0.471 | +3 |
| 66 | Baylor | 5 | 4 | B12 | 0.470 | +8 |
| 67 | Maryland | 5 | 4 | B10 | 0.466 | -13 |
| 68 | Nevada | 5 | 4 | MWC | 0.465 | +1 |
| 69 | Georgia Tech | 5 | 4 | ACC | 0.461 | +2 |
| 70 | SMU | 4 | 5 | AAC | 0.449 | +22 |
| 71 | Tulane | 4 | 5 | AAC | 0.449 | +27 |
| 72 | Oklahoma St. | 5 | 4 | B12 | 0.446 | -15 |
| 73 | E. Mich. | 5 | 5 | MID | 0.441 | +8 |
| 74 | UL Monroe | 5 | 4 | SUN | 0.438 | +20 |
| 75 | BYU | 4 | 5 | IND | 0.436 | -5 |
| 76 | Arkansas St. | 5 | 4 | SUN | 0.435 | +6 |
| 77 | Florida St. | 4 | 5 | ACC | 0.429 | -15 |
| 78 | Florida Atl. | 4 | 5 | USA | 0.426 | +12 |
| 79 | W. Michigan | 6 | 4 | MID | 0.426 | -12 |
| 80 | Florida Int. | 6 | 3 | USA | 0.424 | -21 |
| 81 | Arizona | 5 | 5 | PAC | 0.418 | +4 |
| 82 | UL Lafayette | 4 | 5 | SUN | 0.416 | -5 |
| 83 | TCU | 4 | 5 | B12 | 0.403 | +6 |
| 84 | Virginia Tech | 4 | 4 | ACC | 0.395 | -8 |
| 85 | Indiana | 4 | 5 | B10 | 0.393 | -6 |
| 86 | S. Miss. | 4 | 4 | USA | 0.390 | +13 |
| 87 | Liberty | 4 | 4 | IND | 0.387 | -12 |
| 88 | Memphis | 5 | 4 | AAC | 0.386 | +9 |
| 89 | Wake Forest | 4 | 5 | ACC | 0.380 | -11 |
| 90 | Hawaii | 6 | 5 | MWC | 0.380 | -6 |
| 91 | Colorado | 5 | 4 | PAC | 0.373 | -11 |
| 92 | California | 5 | 4 | PAC | 0.364 | -5 |
| 93 | Wyoming | 4 | 6 | MWC | 0.363 | +7 |
| 94 | Kansas St. | 3 | 6 | B12 | 0.361 | -11 |
| 95 | Akron | 4 | 4 | MID | 0.349 | -9 |
| 96 | UMASS | 4 | 6 | MID | 0.338 | +5 |
| 97 | Illinois | 4 | 5 | B10 | 0.327 | +9 |
| 98 | Miami (OH) | 3 | 6 | MID | 0.325 | -7 |
| 99 | Charlotte | 4 | 5 | USA | 0.325 | -6 |
| 100 | Air Force | 3 | 6 | MWC | 0.322 | -4 |
| 101 | Minnesota | 4 | 5 | B10 | 0.300 | -13 |
| 102 | UCLA | 2 | 7 | PAC | 0.298 | -7 |
| 103 | Nebraska | 2 | 7 | B10 | 0.282 | +1 |
| 104 | New Mexico | 3 | 6 | MWC | 0.276 | -1 |
| 105 | Kansas | 3 | 6 | B12 | 0.269 | 0 |
| 106 | UTSA | 3 | 6 | USA | 0.232 | +5 |
| 107 | E. Carolina | 2 | 6 | AAC | 0.226 | -5 |
| 108 | S. Alabama | 2 | 7 | SUN | 0.213 | -1 |
| 109 | Colorado St. | 3 | 6 | MWC | 0.212 | 0 |
| 110 | Louisville | 2 | 7 | ACC | 0.209 | +4 |
| 111 | Oregon St. | 2 | 7 | PAC | 0.207 | -1 |
| 112 | Arkansas | 2 | 7 | SEC | 0.205 | +1 |
| 113 | Navy | 2 | 7 | AAC | 0.197 | -1 |
| 114 | Texas State | 3 | 6 | SUN | 0.173 | +7 |
| 115 | Georgia St. | 2 | 7 | SUN | 0.169 | -7 |
| 116 | NM St. | 3 | 7 | IND | 0.157 | +4 |
| 117 | Old Dominion | 2 | 7 | USA | 0.157 | -2 |
| 118 | Ball State | 3 | 7 | MID | 0.155 | 0 |
| 119 | Tulsa | 2 | 7 | AAC | 0.144 | +5 |
| 120 | San Jose St. | 1 | 8 | MWC | 0.129 | -3 |
| 121 | N. Carolina | 1 | 7 | ACC | 0.118 | -5 |
| 122 | Kent State | 2 | 7 | MID | 0.110 | +7 |
| 123 | Rutgers | 1 | 8 | B10 | 0.084 | +3 |
| 124 | C. Mich. | 1 | 9 | MID | 0.083 | -2 |
| 125 | Connecticut | 1 | 8 | AAC | 0.073 | -6 |
| 126 | UNLV | 2 | 7 | MWC | 0.057 | +2 |
| 127 | W. Kentucky | 1 | 8 | USA | 0.039 | -2 |
| 128 | UTEP | 1 | 8 | USA | 0.012 | +2 |
| 129 | Bowling Grn | 1 | 8 | MID | 0.011 | -2 |
| 130 | Rice | 1 | 9 | USA | 0.000 | -7 |
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
| S. Carolina | 39.8 |
|---|---|
| LSU | 39.8 |
| Georgia | 43.1 |
| Missouri | 44.0 |
| Texas A&M | 45.0 |
| Florida | 46.3 |
| Vanderbilt | 46.9 |
| Stanford | 48.1 |
| Kentucky | 48.9 |
| UCLA | 49.6 |
| : | : |
| : | : |
| North Texas | 89.6 |
| UAB | 90.1 |
| Cincinnati | 91.0 |
| W. Kentucky | 91.9 |
| Utah State | 95.1 |
| S. Florida | 95.3 |
| Houston | 95.4 |
| Florida Int. | 97.1 |
| Fresno St. | 97.6 |
| Texas State | 98.7 |
Average Rank per Conference:
| SEC | 33.2 |
|---|---|
| B12 | 54.6 |
| ACC | 57.6 |
| B10 | 58.3 |
| IND | 59.6 |
| PAC | 65.1 |
| SUN | 72.7 |
| AAC | 74.0 |
| MWC | 75.3 |
| USA | 83.4 |
| MID | 85.9 |
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
| SEC | 50.5 |
|---|---|
| B10 | 63.3 |
| B12 | 64.2 |
| ACC | 67.1 |
| PAC | 70.3 |
| IND | 74.8 |
| SUN | 77.9 |
| AAC | 78.6 |
| MID | 78.8 |
| MWC | 79.9 |
| USA | 83.9 |
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