The top six stayed exactly the same, though Georgia did extend it's relative lead while the gap between TCU and Tennessee closed to nearly nothing.
Utah beat Stanford, which wasn't a surprise obviously, but it was enough to move them up three spots to 11th. With Oregon's loss to Washington and USC's relatively inconsequential win over Colorado, that makes Utah the highest ranked PAC-12 team. The conference is again successfully cannibalizing itself out of CFP prospects. There may well end up being a five-way tie of teams with two conference losses. Perhaps more likely is two teams ending with only one conference loss, those two playing for the championship, and the winner going to the Rose Bowl. #GoUtes
Let me know on Twitter if you have questions or comments. I am starting to post projections each week now, usually on about Tuesday. I got some pretty big games right on last week, but overall wasn't that great.
Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | RTPS | Delta |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Georgia | 10 | 0 | SEC | 1.000 | 0 |
2 | Ohio State | 10 | 0 | B10 | 0.900 | 0 |
3 | Tennessee | 9 | 1 | SEC | 0.863 | 0 |
4 | TCU | 10 | 0 | B12 | 0.856 | 0 |
5 | Michigan | 10 | 0 | B10 | 0.819 | 0 |
6 | LSU | 8 | 2 | SEC | 0.790 | 0 |
7 | Alabama | 8 | 2 | SEC | 0.788 | +3 |
8 | Clemson | 9 | 1 | ACC | 0.749 | +1 |
9 | Penn State | 8 | 2 | B10 | 0.729 | +7 |
10 | N. Carolina | 9 | 1 | ACC | 0.715 | +5 |
11 | Utah | 8 | 2 | PAC | 0.714 | +3 |
12 | Notre Dame | 7 | 3 | IND | 0.711 | -4 |
13 | USC | 9 | 1 | PAC | 0.706 | 0 |
14 | UCF | 8 | 2 | AAC | 0.679 | +10 |
15 | Oregon | 8 | 2 | PAC | 0.675 | -8 |
16 | Kansas St. | 7 | 3 | B12 | 0.671 | +6 |
17 | Ole Miss | 8 | 2 | SEC | 0.664 | -5 |
18 | Troy | 8 | 2 | SUN | 0.659 | 0 |
19 | Wash. | 8 | 2 | PAC | 0.650 | +16 |
20 | Florida St. | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.643 | +10 |
21 | Texas | 6 | 4 | B12 | 0.628 | -2 |
22 | UCLA | 8 | 2 | PAC | 0.625 | -11 |
23 | Tulane | 8 | 2 | AAC | 0.610 | -6 |
24 | Louisville | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.599 | -1 |
25 | Coastal Caro. | 9 | 1 | SUN | 0.596 | +2 |
26 | Oregon St. | 7 | 3 | PAC | 0.593 | +8 |
27 | S. Alabama | 8 | 2 | SUN | 0.589 | +4 |
28 | UTSA | 8 | 2 | USA | 0.584 | +4 |
29 | Cincinnati | 8 | 2 | AAC | 0.583 | +7 |
30 | Liberty | 8 | 2 | IND | 0.580 | -10 |
31 | Oklahoma St. | 7 | 3 | B12 | 0.566 | +6 |
32 | Miss. St. | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.561 | -6 |
33 | Florida | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.557 | +11 |
34 | Illinois | 7 | 3 | B10 | 0.547 | -9 |
35 | NC State | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.536 | -14 |
36 | Syracuse | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.530 | -8 |
37 | E. Carolina | 6 | 4 | AAC | 0.526 | +2 |
38 | Toledo | 7 | 3 | MID | 0.521 | +16 |
39 | Wake Forest | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.519 | -1 |
40 | Baylor | 6 | 4 | B12 | 0.513 | 0 |
41 | Iowa | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.509 | +14 |
42 | Kentucky | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.509 | -13 |
43 | Boise State | 7 | 3 | MWC | 0.507 | +6 |
44 | Kansas | 6 | 4 | B12 | 0.507 | -11 |
45 | Minnesota | 7 | 3 | B10 | 0.505 | +3 |
46 | SMU | 6 | 4 | AAC | 0.504 | +1 |
47 | Duke | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.501 | +3 |
48 | Purdue | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.500 | +15 |
49 | Marshall | 6 | 4 | SUN | 0.497 | +10 |
50 | Ohio | 7 | 3 | MID | 0.488 | +7 |
51 | Wash. St. | 6 | 4 | PAC | 0.487 | +2 |
52 | Arkansas | 5 | 5 | SEC | 0.485 | -9 |
53 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.476 | +5 |
54 | Wyoming | 7 | 3 | MWC | 0.473 | +7 |
55 | Air Force | 7 | 3 | MWC | 0.472 | +7 |
56 | Fresno St. | 6 | 4 | MWC | 0.472 | +10 |
57 | Maryland | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.470 | -12 |
58 | San Jose St. | 6 | 3 | MWC | 0.467 | -17 |
59 | Texas Tech | 5 | 5 | B12 | 0.463 | +15 |
60 | Mich. St. | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.462 | 0 |
61 | Houston | 6 | 4 | AAC | 0.460 | +3 |
62 | James Madison | 6 | 3 | SUN | 0.458 | +5 |
63 | W. Kentucky | 7 | 4 | USA | 0.455 | +7 |
64 | San Diego St. | 6 | 4 | MWC | 0.451 | +17 |
65 | BYU | 5 | 5 | IND | 0.449 | -9 |
66 | S. Carolina | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.442 | -24 |
67 | Wisconsin | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.436 | -15 |
68 | Oklahoma | 5 | 5 | B12 | 0.434 | -22 |
69 | Connecticut | 6 | 5 | IND | 0.418 | +10 |
70 | UL Lafayette | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.417 | +15 |
71 | Buffalo | 5 | 5 | MID | 0.414 | -20 |
72 | UAB | 5 | 5 | USA | 0.412 | +12 |
73 | Memphis | 5 | 5 | AAC | 0.403 | +4 |
74 | Missouri | 4 | 6 | SEC | 0.402 | -3 |
75 | North Texas | 6 | 5 | USA | 0.399 | -10 |
76 | Arizona | 4 | 6 | PAC | 0.397 | +18 |
77 | Iowa State | 4 | 6 | B12 | 0.389 | -4 |
78 | App. St. | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.389 | -10 |
79 | S. Miss. | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.384 | -7 |
80 | Auburn | 4 | 6 | SEC | 0.381 | 0 |
81 | Florida Atl. | 5 | 5 | USA | 0.380 | +7 |
82 | Utah State | 5 | 5 | MWC | 0.372 | +5 |
83 | Georgia So. | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.366 | -14 |
84 | Ball State | 5 | 5 | MID | 0.362 | -6 |
85 | Miami (FL) | 5 | 5 | ACC | 0.360 | +10 |
86 | Vanderbilt | 4 | 6 | SEC | 0.359 | +5 |
87 | Stanford | 3 | 7 | PAC | 0.338 | -4 |
88 | E. Mich. | 6 | 4 | MID | 0.333 | +10 |
89 | Kent State | 4 | 6 | MID | 0.320 | +16 |
90 | Bowling Grn | 5 | 5 | MID | 0.312 | -15 |
91 | W. Virginia | 4 | 6 | B12 | 0.312 | +12 |
92 | C. Mich. | 4 | 6 | MID | 0.308 | +14 |
93 | UNLV | 4 | 6 | MWC | 0.303 | -7 |
94 | Mid. Tenn. | 5 | 5 | USA | 0.301 | +14 |
95 | Georgia St. | 4 | 6 | SUN | 0.300 | -19 |
96 | Georgia Tech | 4 | 6 | ACC | 0.299 | -14 |
97 | Rutgers | 4 | 6 | B10 | 0.291 | -4 |
98 | Arizona St. | 3 | 7 | PAC | 0.290 | -9 |
99 | Indiana | 3 | 7 | B10 | 0.273 | +1 |
100 | Army | 3 | 6 | IND | 0.272 | +1 |
101 | Texas A&M | 3 | 7 | SEC | 0.270 | -11 |
102 | UL Monroe | 4 | 6 | SUN | 0.269 | +11 |
103 | California | 3 | 7 | PAC | 0.268 | -4 |
104 | Rice | 5 | 5 | USA | 0.265 | -7 |
105 | Navy | 3 | 7 | AAC | 0.260 | -1 |
106 | Virginia | 3 | 7 | ACC | 0.258 | -10 |
107 | Old Dominion | 3 | 7 | SUN | 0.248 | -15 |
108 | BC | 3 | 7 | ACC | 0.242 | +9 |
109 | Miami (OH) | 4 | 6 | MID | 0.233 | -7 |
110 | Arkansas St. | 3 | 7 | SUN | 0.226 | +8 |
111 | LA Tech | 3 | 7 | USA | 0.223 | -4 |
112 | Nebraska | 3 | 7 | B10 | 0.219 | -2 |
113 | N. Illinois | 3 | 7 | MID | 0.218 | +7 |
114 | Tulsa | 3 | 7 | AAC | 0.210 | -5 |
115 | UTEP | 4 | 6 | USA | 0.207 | -1 |
116 | NM St. | 4 | 5 | IND | 0.191 | +5 |
117 | Texas State | 3 | 7 | SUN | 0.187 | -2 |
118 | W. Michigan | 3 | 7 | MID | 0.183 | -7 |
119 | Florida Int. | 4 | 6 | USA | 0.180 | -7 |
120 | Colorado St. | 2 | 8 | MWC | 0.176 | -4 |
121 | Temple | 3 | 7 | AAC | 0.142 | -2 |
122 | Virginia Tech | 2 | 8 | ACC | 0.132 | 0 |
123 | Colorado | 1 | 9 | PAC | 0.123 | +1 |
124 | New Mexico | 2 | 8 | MWC | 0.118 | +2 |
125 | Northwestern | 1 | 9 | B10 | 0.104 | -2 |
126 | Hawaii | 2 | 9 | MWC | 0.079 | +3 |
127 | Nevada | 2 | 8 | MWC | 0.079 | +1 |
128 | Charlotte | 2 | 9 | USA | 0.069 | -3 |
129 | S. Florida | 1 | 9 | AAC | 0.060 | -2 |
130 | Akron | 1 | 9 | MID | 0.038 | 0 |
131 | UMASS | 1 | 9 | IND | 0.000 | 0 |
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
Stanford | 39.9 |
---|---|
Colorado | 45.7 |
Texas Tech | 47.5 |
Auburn | 48.2 |
Texas | 48.3 |
BYU | 49.4 |
LSU | 50.0 |
Alabama | 50.2 |
Syracuse | 50.7 |
Miss. St. | 52.8 |
: | : |
: | : |
Wyoming | 91.0 |
Mid. Tenn. | 91.6 |
Florida Int. | 92.0 |
Ohio | 92.9 |
San Jose St. | 93.8 |
UTEP | 94.4 |
Duke | 94.9 |
Air Force | 98.3 |
E. Mich. | 98.5 |
NM St. | 109.6 |
Average Rank per Conference:
SEC | 42.9 |
---|---|
B12 | 45.1 |
PAC | 53.7 |
ACC | 56.4 |
B10 | 57.2 |
AAC | 68.4 |
SUN | 73.0 |
IND | 74.7 |
MWC | 83.5 |
MID | 89.3 |
USA | 90.0 |
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
B12 | 57.7 |
---|---|
SEC | 58.3 |
PAC | 60.3 |
ACC | 66.4 |
B10 | 68.0 |
AAC | 72.8 |
IND | 75.2 |
SUN | 77.8 |
MID | 83.4 |
MWC | 83.7 |
USA | 87.1 |
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