Bowl Championships are on us this week. There's obviously huge playoff implications riding on a few of these games. I have not taken neutral sites into account on any of these games, so homefield/awayfield advantages are baked into these numbers. So adjust accordingly.
- The numbers give the SEC championship to Auburn, but my intuition gives it to Georgia (go Dawgs). The winner for sure makes the playoff. Is that at a neutral site?
Largest Spread of the Week
Tightest Spread of the Week
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
- The numbers give the SEC championship to Auburn, but my intuition gives it to Georgia (go Dawgs). The winner for sure makes the playoff. Is that at a neutral site?
- The numbers give the PAC12 championship to USC. That one is at a neutral site, but I probably still give it to USC.
- UCF is playing Memphis for the AAC. Even if they win I doubt they get a playoff berth. I suspect they'd play someone like the SEC runner-up in a New Years 6 bowl though.
- UCF is playing Memphis for the AAC. Even if they win I doubt they get a playoff berth. I suspect they'd play someone like the SEC runner-up in a New Years 6 bowl though.
- The Big10 comes down to Ohio St vs Wisconsin. The numbers give it to Wisconsin and I probably do too. If they win they gotta be in the playoff. If Ohio St wins, the BIG10 may get left out of the playoff.
- Finally, the other big one is Miami vs Clemson for the ACC. I have Clemson #1 overall right now and I gotta think they'll show up for that one. Either way, the winner should make the playoff.
- I didn't get a chance last week to compare my spreads against the Vegas ones so I can't really give an ATS record for last week, but I do want to point out that I was correct about Auburn winning. In fact, I was correct all of my 'interesting' games last week except for Miami losing and technically Stanford winning (but I had that at basically a tie anyway).
- Finally, the other big one is Miami vs Clemson for the ACC. I have Clemson #1 overall right now and I gotta think they'll show up for that one. Either way, the winner should make the playoff.
- I didn't get a chance last week to compare my spreads against the Vegas ones so I can't really give an ATS record for last week, but I do want to point out that I was correct about Auburn winning. In fact, I was correct all of my 'interesting' games last week except for Miami losing and technically Stanford winning (but I had that at basically a tie anyway).
| Away | Home | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stanford | USC | -5.3 | 1.1 |
| Memphis | UCF | -6.2 | 0.0 |
| UMASS | FIU | -16.6 | 8.7 |
| Akron | Toledo | -18.7 | 1.9 |
| North Texas | FAU | -10.7 | 0.9 |
| La. Monroe | Florida St. | -17.3 | 0.3 |
| TCU | Oklahoma | -5.9 | 0.3 |
| Ga. Southern | C. Carolina | -0.0 | 0.4 |
| Idaho | Georgia State | -14.8 | 1.8 |
| UL Lafayette | App. St. | -20.4 | 2.3 |
| Georgia | Auburn | -3.4 | 0.3 |
| S. Alabama | New Mex St. | -8.5 | 0.8 |
| Troy | Arkansas St. | 3.6 | 0.6 |
| Fresno State | Boise State | -4.3 | 0.6 |
| Ohio State | Wisconsin | -6.9 | 1.5 |
| Miami (FL) | Clemson | -6.1 | 1.0 |
Largest Spread of the Week
| UL Lafayette | App. St. | -20.4 | 2.3 |
|---|
Tightest Spread of the Week
| Ga. Southern | C. Carolina | -0.0 | 0.4 |
|---|
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| UMASS | FIU | -16.6 | 8.7 |
|---|
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| Memphis | UCF | -6.2 | 0.0 |
|---|
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