Projections for Week 11.
- The biggest game of the week is obviously Notre Dame at Miami; that's two top-5 teams facing off. I currently have it as a narrow home win for Miami, but that one could really go anywhere.
- Both Georgia and Alabama have tough road games this week against top-20 opponents. I have both of them winning those on the road, but by about a single point each.
- Utah is at home for what is possibly their toughest matchup to date this season (next week will be harder & USC may have been harder). It's not absolutely necessary that they win this to get to bowl-eligible, but an upset over the Cougars would get them there and be a huge boost for the season. I currently have it as a 5 point Washington State win, but the Utes have historically been really good at home against ranked opponents.
- A few other interesting ones I didn't put in the "interesting" list at the top are: OkSt @ Iowa St., Washington @ Stanford, and Michigan St. @ Ohio St. Lots of good football this week
| Away | Home | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|
| Notre Dame | Miami(FL) | -2.4 | 0.8 |
|---|
| Georgia | Auburn | 3.3 | 2.0 |
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| Connecticut | UCF | -37.3 | 4.4 |
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| Alabama | Miss. St. | 0.7 | 0.7 |
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| Iowa | Wisconsin | -8.1 | 1.6 |
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| TCU | Oklahoma | -4.0 | 0.4 |
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| Washington St. | Utah | 5.4 | 5.0 |
|---|
| Away | Home | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|
| Akron | Miami(OH) | 15.1 | 2.6 |
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| Bowling Grn | Buffalo | -2.5 | 2.1 |
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| Toledo | Ohio | 6.4 | 1.8 |
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| KentSt. | W. Michigan | -19.3 | 4.4 |
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| E. Michigan | C. Michigan | -7.0 | 5.5 |
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| Ball St. | N. Illinois | -29.7 | 6.8 |
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| UNC | Pitt | -17.4 | 0.1 |
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| Ga. Southern | App. St. | -17.8 | 1.5 |
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| Temple | Cincinnati | 1.7 | 0.8 |
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| Washington | Stanford | -0.1 | 2.4 |
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| BYU | UNLV | -7.4 | 2.4 |
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| UL Lafayette | Ole Miss | -16.0 | 5.8 |
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| Nebraska | Minnesota | 6.4 | 0.4 |
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| Texas Tech | Baylor | 9.9 | 0.5 |
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| Rutgers | Penn St. | -39.5 | 19.9 |
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| NC State | BC | -0.5 | 1.6 |
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| Oklahoma St. | Iowa State | -0.7 | 2.4 |
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| Duke | Army | -20.1 | 1.0 |
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| Arkansas | LSU | -17.3 | 2.0 |
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| Indiana | Illinois | 5.5 | 0.9 |
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| Michigan St. | Ohio St. | -3.1 | 0.4 |
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| Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | 7.2 | 0.2 |
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| Florida | S. Carolina | -18.7 | 8.8 |
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| M. Tenn. St. | Charlotte | 3.9 | 4.2 |
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| Wake Forest | Syracuse | -1.1 | 1.7 |
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| Southern Miss | Rice | 15.0 | 8.1 |
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| SMU | Navy | -0.9 | 2.7 |
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| West Virginia | Kansas St. | 3.3 | 2.0 |
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| FAU | Louisiana Tech | 15.2 | 1.1 |
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| Florida St. | Clemson | -22.2 | 0.5 |
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| Virginia | Louisville | -0.1 | 1.1 |
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| Michigan | Maryland | 15.0 | 1.4 |
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| San Jose St. | Nevada | -10.5 | 2.8 |
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| Georgia St. | Texas State | 21.6 | 6.8 |
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| Kentucky | Vanderbilt | 10.8 | 1.8 |
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| USC | Colorado | 14.7 | 1.9 |
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| Troy | C.Carolina | 25.8 | 5.6 |
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| UTEP | North Texas | -31.2 | 1.1 |
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| Arkansas St. | S. Alabama | 12.5 | 1.1 |
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| Kansas | Texas | -21.0 | 2.0 |
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| W. Kentucky | Marshall | -19.7 | 1.3 |
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| Tulane | East Carolina | -0.7 | 0.2 |
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| UAB | UTSA | -2.1 | 0.1 |
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| Old Dominion | FIU | -22.4 | 7.8 |
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| New Mexico | Texas A&M | -21.6 | 3.3 |
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| Purdue | Northwestern | -10.7 | 2.3 |
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| Tennessee | Missouri | 2.9 | 3.5 |
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| Arizona St. | UCLA | 4.5 | 8.6 |
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| Oregon St. | Arizona | -29.2 | 0.4 |
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| Wyoming | Air Force | 11.6 | 3.4 |
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| Boise State | Colorado St. | 18.2 | 2.7 |
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| Fresno State | Hawaii | 21.3 | 0.1 |
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Largest Spread of the Week
| Rutgers | Penn State | -39.5 | 19.9 |
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Tightest Spread of the Week
| Washington | Stanford | -0.1 | 2.4 |
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Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| Rutgers | Penn State | -39.5 | 19.9 |
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Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
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