Thanks primarily to the defense, Utah somehow managed to pull of a win without their QB or RB. Shelley and Shyne stepped up pretty well but our defense was absolutely impenetrable for much of that game, and that's what really kept us alive. So with that win Utah moves back up 6 spots to 28th. I think we're a top 20 team if we had Huntley and Moss. 28th seems about right without them, but who knows yet. Utah could still win the PAC12 South, but needs ASU to lose one. It's looking like the Apple Cup will decide the winner of the North.
The top three remain unchanged, but ND jumps back up a couple spots into 4th. Of the top 4 teams, ND has the hardest game coming up this next week, so look for them to possibly move up again if they win. Alabama is playing an FCS team this week. They have the weirdest schedule.
The biggest movers this week were Akransas St (+20) and Purdue (-19). Central Michigan somehow managed to lose to Bowling Green at home, and is now the new 'worst team in FBS.'
As always thanks for being here and please let me know if you have feedback or see issues (@NateEMiller). For those that are here for the first time, this system is entirely data-driven and uses a set of metrics I've identified to measure the actual performance of all of the teams simultaneously and rank them all against each other using a multi-regression technique. If a team comes up higher than seems logical, it's not because I think they're that good, it's because something in their performance is saying they are probably better than what we realize. You can find more details here.
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
Average Rank per Conference:
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
The top three remain unchanged, but ND jumps back up a couple spots into 4th. Of the top 4 teams, ND has the hardest game coming up this next week, so look for them to possibly move up again if they win. Alabama is playing an FCS team this week. They have the weirdest schedule.
The biggest movers this week were Akransas St (+20) and Purdue (-19). Central Michigan somehow managed to lose to Bowling Green at home, and is now the new 'worst team in FBS.'
As always thanks for being here and please let me know if you have feedback or see issues (@NateEMiller). For those that are here for the first time, this system is entirely data-driven and uses a set of metrics I've identified to measure the actual performance of all of the teams simultaneously and rank them all against each other using a multi-regression technique. If a team comes up higher than seems logical, it's not because I think they're that good, it's because something in their performance is saying they are probably better than what we realize. You can find more details here.
| Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | RTPS | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alabama | 10 | 0 | SEC | 1.000 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 9 | 1 | SEC | 0.920 | 0 |
| 3 | Clemson | 10 | 0 | ACC | 0.898 | 0 |
| 4 | Notre Dame | 10 | 0 | IND | 0.830 | +2 |
| 5 | Michigan | 9 | 1 | B10 | 0.812 | -1 |
| 6 | LSU | 8 | 2 | SEC | 0.797 | -1 |
| 7 | UCF | 9 | 0 | AAC | 0.752 | 0 |
| 8 | Oklahoma | 9 | 1 | B12 | 0.745 | 0 |
| 9 | W. Virginia | 8 | 1 | B12 | 0.733 | 0 |
| 10 | Wash. St. | 9 | 1 | PAC | 0.691 | +2 |
| 11 | Ohio State | 9 | 1 | B10 | 0.687 | +8 |
| 12 | Boise State | 8 | 2 | MWC | 0.666 | +13 |
| 13 | Florida | 7 | 3 | SEC | 0.662 | +3 |
| 14 | Army | 8 | 2 | IND | 0.657 | 0 |
| 15 | Cincinnati | 9 | 1 | AAC | 0.648 | +14 |
| 16 | Miss. St. | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.648 | -5 |
| 17 | Utah State | 9 | 1 | MWC | 0.645 | +1 |
| 18 | UAB | 9 | 1 | USA | 0.641 | -3 |
| 19 | Buffalo | 9 | 1 | MID | 0.640 | +1 |
| 20 | Penn State | 7 | 3 | B10 | 0.634 | +10 |
| 21 | Kentucky | 7 | 3 | SEC | 0.631 | -11 |
| 22 | Iowa State | 6 | 3 | B12 | 0.629 | 0 |
| 23 | Syracuse | 8 | 2 | ACC | 0.625 | +3 |
| 24 | Missouri | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.624 | +4 |
| 25 | App. St. | 7 | 2 | SUN | 0.621 | -2 |
| 26 | Fresno St. | 8 | 2 | MWC | 0.619 | -13 |
| 27 | Troy | 8 | 2 | SUN | 0.616 | +14 |
| 28 | Utah | 7 | 3 | PAC | 0.608 | +6 |
| 29 | Texas | 7 | 3 | B12 | 0.588 | +6 |
| 30 | Duke | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.584 | +6 |
| 31 | Mich. St. | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.584 | -10 |
| 32 | Wash. | 7 | 3 | PAC | 0.576 | +8 |
| 33 | Pittsburgh | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.574 | +13 |
| 34 | Texas A&M | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.572 | +8 |
| 35 | NC State | 6 | 3 | ACC | 0.565 | -18 |
| 36 | BC | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.565 | -9 |
| 37 | S. Carolina | 5 | 4 | SEC | 0.562 | -13 |
| 38 | Virginia | 7 | 3 | ACC | 0.562 | +6 |
| 39 | Georgia So. | 7 | 3 | SUN | 0.554 | -6 |
| 40 | Iowa | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.548 | -8 |
| 41 | Northwestern | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.548 | +7 |
| 42 | Tennessee | 5 | 5 | SEC | 0.542 | +17 |
| 43 | Auburn | 6 | 4 | SEC | 0.541 | -4 |
| 44 | Stanford | 6 | 4 | PAC | 0.539 | +1 |
| 45 | N. Illinois | 7 | 3 | MID | 0.536 | +6 |
| 46 | LA Tech | 7 | 3 | USA | 0.522 | +1 |
| 47 | Temple | 6 | 4 | AAC | 0.521 | +13 |
| 48 | Mid. Tenn. | 7 | 3 | USA | 0.517 | +5 |
| 49 | Arizona St. | 6 | 4 | PAC | 0.510 | +1 |
| 50 | Purdue | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.502 | -19 |
| 51 | North Texas | 7 | 3 | USA | 0.498 | -13 |
| 52 | Marshall | 6 | 3 | USA | 0.497 | +12 |
| 53 | San Diego St. | 7 | 3 | MWC | 0.490 | -16 |
| 54 | Houston | 7 | 3 | AAC | 0.487 | -11 |
| 55 | Georgia Tech | 6 | 4 | ACC | 0.475 | +14 |
| 56 | Arkansas St. | 6 | 4 | SUN | 0.470 | +20 |
| 57 | Ohio | 6 | 4 | MID | 0.467 | -8 |
| 58 | S. Florida | 7 | 3 | AAC | 0.464 | -2 |
| 59 | Wisconsin | 6 | 4 | B10 | 0.459 | -4 |
| 60 | Nevada | 6 | 4 | MWC | 0.456 | +8 |
| 61 | BYU | 5 | 5 | IND | 0.451 | +14 |
| 62 | E. Mich. | 6 | 5 | MID | 0.450 | +11 |
| 63 | Texas Tech | 5 | 5 | B12 | 0.449 | -11 |
| 64 | Tulane | 5 | 5 | AAC | 0.447 | +7 |
| 65 | Florida Atl. | 5 | 5 | USA | 0.446 | +13 |
| 66 | Oregon | 6 | 4 | PAC | 0.445 | -8 |
| 67 | Ole Miss | 5 | 5 | SEC | 0.444 | -13 |
| 68 | Florida Int. | 7 | 3 | USA | 0.443 | +12 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | 4 | 6 | SEC | 0.437 | -7 |
| 70 | Miami (FL) | 5 | 5 | ACC | 0.431 | -13 |
| 71 | SMU | 5 | 5 | AAC | 0.431 | -1 |
| 72 | UL Monroe | 6 | 4 | SUN | 0.427 | +2 |
| 73 | Wake Forest | 5 | 5 | ACC | 0.424 | +16 |
| 74 | UL Lafayette | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.422 | +8 |
| 75 | Baylor | 5 | 5 | B12 | 0.421 | -9 |
| 76 | Toledo | 5 | 5 | MID | 0.419 | -13 |
| 77 | Oklahoma St. | 5 | 5 | B12 | 0.415 | -5 |
| 78 | USC | 5 | 5 | PAC | 0.415 | -13 |
| 79 | Coastal Caro. | 5 | 5 | SUN | 0.415 | -18 |
| 80 | Indiana | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.415 | +5 |
| 81 | Maryland | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.401 | -14 |
| 82 | Memphis | 6 | 4 | AAC | 0.400 | +6 |
| 83 | W. Michigan | 6 | 4 | MID | 0.398 | -4 |
| 84 | Florida St. | 4 | 6 | ACC | 0.395 | -7 |
| 85 | California | 6 | 4 | PAC | 0.391 | +7 |
| 86 | Arizona | 5 | 5 | PAC | 0.389 | -5 |
| 87 | TCU | 4 | 6 | B12 | 0.369 | -4 |
| 88 | Hawaii | 6 | 5 | MWC | 0.369 | +2 |
| 89 | Kansas St. | 4 | 6 | B12 | 0.365 | +5 |
| 90 | Miami (OH) | 4 | 6 | MID | 0.363 | +8 |
| 91 | S. Miss. | 4 | 5 | USA | 0.354 | -5 |
| 92 | Air Force | 4 | 6 | MWC | 0.352 | +8 |
| 93 | Virginia Tech | 4 | 5 | ACC | 0.350 | -9 |
| 94 | Minnesota | 5 | 5 | B10 | 0.348 | +7 |
| 95 | Wyoming | 4 | 6 | MWC | 0.347 | -2 |
| 96 | Liberty | 4 | 5 | IND | 0.339 | -9 |
| 97 | Colorado | 5 | 5 | PAC | 0.334 | -6 |
| 98 | Akron | 4 | 5 | MID | 0.317 | -3 |
| 99 | Nebraska | 3 | 7 | B10 | 0.310 | +4 |
| 100 | Charlotte | 4 | 6 | USA | 0.294 | -1 |
| 101 | UCLA | 2 | 8 | PAC | 0.269 | +1 |
| 102 | UMASS | 4 | 7 | MID | 0.260 | -6 |
| 103 | Illinois | 4 | 6 | B10 | 0.230 | -6 |
| 104 | Old Dominion | 3 | 7 | USA | 0.229 | +13 |
| 105 | Kansas | 3 | 7 | B12 | 0.222 | 0 |
| 106 | Navy | 2 | 8 | AAC | 0.213 | +7 |
| 107 | Louisville | 2 | 8 | ACC | 0.211 | +3 |
| 108 | E. Carolina | 2 | 7 | AAC | 0.203 | -1 |
| 109 | New Mexico | 3 | 7 | MWC | 0.202 | -5 |
| 110 | UTSA | 3 | 7 | USA | 0.197 | -4 |
| 111 | Arkansas | 2 | 8 | SEC | 0.184 | +1 |
| 112 | Oregon St. | 2 | 8 | PAC | 0.182 | -1 |
| 113 | S. Alabama | 2 | 8 | SUN | 0.179 | -5 |
| 114 | Colorado St. | 3 | 7 | MWC | 0.175 | -5 |
| 115 | Texas State | 3 | 7 | SUN | 0.161 | -1 |
| 116 | Ball State | 3 | 7 | MID | 0.138 | +2 |
| 117 | NM St. | 3 | 7 | IND | 0.137 | -1 |
| 118 | UNLV | 3 | 7 | MWC | 0.136 | +8 |
| 119 | Georgia St. | 2 | 8 | SUN | 0.132 | -4 |
| 120 | San Jose St. | 1 | 9 | MWC | 0.131 | 0 |
| 121 | Kent State | 2 | 8 | MID | 0.122 | +1 |
| 122 | Tulsa | 2 | 8 | AAC | 0.116 | -3 |
| 123 | N. Carolina | 1 | 8 | ACC | 0.113 | -2 |
| 124 | Rutgers | 1 | 9 | B10 | 0.082 | -1 |
| 125 | Bowling Grn | 2 | 8 | MID | 0.058 | +4 |
| 126 | Connecticut | 1 | 9 | AAC | 0.045 | -1 |
| 127 | W. Kentucky | 1 | 9 | USA | 0.036 | 0 |
| 128 | UTEP | 1 | 9 | USA | 0.029 | 0 |
| 129 | Rice | 1 | 10 | USA | 0.010 | +1 |
| 130 | C. Mich. | 1 | 10 | MID | 0.001 | -6 |
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
| S. Carolina | 39.0 |
|---|---|
| Georgia | 43.4 |
| Vanderbilt | 45.1 |
| Miss. St. | 45.8 |
| Florida | 46.2 |
| Mich. St. | 48.4 |
| Tennessee | 48.5 |
| UCLA | 49.2 |
| Kentucky | 49.8 |
| LSU | 50.0 |
| : | : |
| : | : |
| Bowling Grn | 89.0 |
| Buffalo | 89.3 |
| NM St. | 89.8 |
| Memphis | 92.0 |
| Houston | 92.1 |
| Texas State | 92.4 |
| North Texas | 92.5 |
| UAB | 92.9 |
| Utah State | 96.2 |
| Florida Int. | 96.6 |
Average Rank per Conference:
| SEC | 34.7 |
|---|---|
| B12 | 56.4 |
| ACC | 57.4 |
| IND | 58.4 |
| B10 | 59.9 |
| PAC | 65.7 |
| AAC | 71.7 |
| SUN | 71.9 |
| MWC | 75.3 |
| USA | 81.2 |
| MID | 86.5 |
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
| SEC | 50.1 |
|---|---|
| B10 | 63.4 |
| B12 | 64.9 |
| ACC | 65.4 |
| PAC | 70.3 |
| IND | 74.5 |
| AAC | 76.3 |
| SUN | 77.3 |
| MWC | 78.8 |
| MID | 79.2 |
| USA | 82.7 |
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