The IowaHawkBlog Marble Game says that the CFB Playoff should be Alabama, Clemson, ND, and Ohio State.
Oklahoma, Washington, and UCF all saw decent gains thanks to their conference championships but none could catch those top 4. Washington goes to the Rose Bowl obviously and depending on the playoff selection may play Ohio State or Michigan. Oklahoma should be in the Sugar Bowl if they don't make the playoff, and may very well play Georgia. I suspect UCF will get a bid to either the Peach or Fiesta bowls.
Either way we've got a great bowl season shaping up from what's been an awesome season of college football. Thanks for following along everyone. I'll plan to do one more post after all the bowl games have wrapped up in January.
As always, if you find any mistakes or have any comments please let me or the Commish know on Twitter (@NateEMiller and @IowaHawkBlog).
If anyone is interested in checking out the ranking system I've been running for about 8 years as well, I'd love to discuss it with you also. That system predicts a slightly different playoff outlook and can be found here.
Here's the Marble Game rules for those that don't remember:
The rules of the Marble Game:
- Each power-5 team started the season with 200 marbles, each non-power-5 started with 100.
- For each home win you take 20% of your opponents marbles. For each road win you take 25%.
- Neutral site games are treated like home games (worth 20%) for each team
- Notre Dame and BYU were given the privilege of starting with 200 marbles
- Fractional marbles get rounded to whole marbles at the time when they are moved from one team to the other.
Oklahoma, Washington, and UCF all saw decent gains thanks to their conference championships but none could catch those top 4. Washington goes to the Rose Bowl obviously and depending on the playoff selection may play Ohio State or Michigan. Oklahoma should be in the Sugar Bowl if they don't make the playoff, and may very well play Georgia. I suspect UCF will get a bid to either the Peach or Fiesta bowls.
Either way we've got a great bowl season shaping up from what's been an awesome season of college football. Thanks for following along everyone. I'll plan to do one more post after all the bowl games have wrapped up in January.
As always, if you find any mistakes or have any comments please let me or the Commish know on Twitter (@NateEMiller and @IowaHawkBlog).
If anyone is interested in checking out the ranking system I've been running for about 8 years as well, I'd love to discuss it with you also. That system predicts a slightly different playoff outlook and can be found here.
Here's the Marble Game rules for those that don't remember:
The rules of the Marble Game:
- Each power-5 team started the season with 200 marbles, each non-power-5 started with 100.
- For each home win you take 20% of your opponents marbles. For each road win you take 25%.
- Neutral site games are treated like home games (worth 20%) for each team
- Notre Dame and BYU were given the privilege of starting with 200 marbles
- Fractional marbles get rounded to whole marbles at the time when they are moved from one team to the other.
Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | Marbles |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Alabama | 13 | 0 | SEC | 759 |
2 | Clemson | 13 | 0 | ACC | 714 |
3 | Notre Dame | 12 | 0 | IND | 690 |
4 | Ohio State | 12 | 1 | B10 | 672 |
5 | Oklahoma | 12 | 1 | B12 | 591 |
6 | Wash. | 10 | 3 | PAC | 484 |
7 | Georgia | 11 | 2 | SEC | 460 |
8 | Michigan | 10 | 2 | B10 | 398 |
9 | UCF | 12 | 0 | AAC | 362 |
10 | Wash. St. | 10 | 2 | PAC | 361 |
11 | Texas A&M | 8 | 4 | SEC | 309 |
12 | Iowa State | 8 | 4 | B12 | 304 |
13 | Florida | 9 | 3 | SEC | 293 |
14 | Penn State | 9 | 3 | B10 | 289 |
15 | Texas | 9 | 4 | B12 | 285 |
16 | Utah | 9 | 4 | PAC | 278 |
17 | Syracuse | 9 | 3 | ACC | 268 |
18 | Fresno St. | 11 | 2 | MWC | 262 |
19 | LSU | 9 | 3 | SEC | 254 |
20 | W. Virginia | 8 | 3 | B12 | 249 |
21 | Oregon | 8 | 4 | PAC | 239 |
22 | Arizona St. | 7 | 5 | PAC | 237 |
23 | Kentucky | 9 | 3 | SEC | 236 |
24 | Stanford | 8 | 4 | PAC | 236 |
25 | Missouri | 8 | 4 | SEC | 231 |
26 | Northwestern | 8 | 5 | B10 | 226 |
27 | Miss. St. | 8 | 4 | SEC | 225 |
28 | App. St. | 10 | 2 | SUN | 222 |
29 | Temple | 8 | 4 | AAC | 216 |
30 | Army | 9 | 2 | IND | 209 |
31 | NC State | 9 | 3 | ACC | 204 |
32 | Boise State | 10 | 3 | MWC | 202 |
33 | Georgia Tech | 7 | 5 | ACC | 202 |
34 | Iowa | 8 | 4 | B10 | 202 |
35 | Pittsburgh | 7 | 6 | ACC | 200 |
36 | Purdue | 6 | 6 | B10 | 199 |
37 | Miami (FL) | 7 | 5 | ACC | 195 |
38 | Mich. St. | 7 | 5 | B10 | 181 |
39 | Cincinnati | 10 | 2 | AAC | 180 |
40 | Utah State | 10 | 2 | MWC | 177 |
41 | California | 7 | 5 | PAC | 175 |
42 | Oklahoma St. | 6 | 6 | B12 | 175 |
43 | UAB | 10 | 3 | USA | 171 |
44 | Minnesota | 6 | 6 | B10 | 166 |
45 | Troy | 9 | 3 | SUN | 166 |
46 | Virginia | 7 | 5 | ACC | 162 |
47 | Wisconsin | 7 | 5 | B10 | 158 |
48 | Auburn | 7 | 5 | SEC | 154 |
49 | TCU | 6 | 6 | B12 | 152 |
50 | N. Illinois | 8 | 5 | MID | 150 |
51 | Virginia Tech | 6 | 6 | ACC | 150 |
52 | Wake Forest | 6 | 6 | ACC | 145 |
53 | S. Carolina | 7 | 5 | SEC | 141 |
54 | BC | 7 | 5 | ACC | 136 |
55 | Buffalo | 10 | 3 | MID | 134 |
56 | Duke | 7 | 5 | ACC | 134 |
57 | Miami (OH) | 6 | 6 | MID | 130 |
58 | Ohio | 8 | 4 | MID | 130 |
59 | Georgia So. | 9 | 3 | SUN | 126 |
60 | North Texas | 9 | 3 | USA | 126 |
61 | Houston | 8 | 4 | AAC | 119 |
62 | Arkansas St. | 8 | 4 | SUN | 118 |
63 | Nevada | 7 | 5 | MWC | 115 |
64 | Baylor | 6 | 6 | B12 | 114 |
65 | Arizona | 5 | 7 | PAC | 109 |
66 | Marshall | 8 | 4 | USA | 108 |
67 | Vanderbilt | 6 | 6 | SEC | 104 |
68 | Memphis | 8 | 5 | AAC | 103 |
69 | BYU | 6 | 6 | IND | 102 |
70 | Mid. Tenn. | 8 | 5 | USA | 99 |
71 | Hawaii | 8 | 5 | MWC | 94 |
72 | Nebraska | 4 | 8 | B10 | 94 |
73 | Tennessee | 5 | 7 | SEC | 92 |
74 | Florida St. | 5 | 7 | ACC | 90 |
75 | USC | 5 | 7 | PAC | 89 |
76 | S. Miss. | 6 | 5 | USA | 89 |
77 | Tulane | 6 | 6 | AAC | 89 |
78 | Kansas St. | 5 | 7 | B12 | 87 |
79 | Florida Int. | 8 | 4 | USA | 82 |
80 | W. Michigan | 7 | 5 | MID | 82 |
81 | E. Mich. | 7 | 5 | MID | 81 |
82 | UNLV | 4 | 8 | MWC | 80 |
83 | San Diego St. | 7 | 5 | MWC | 79 |
84 | Toledo | 7 | 5 | MID | 77 |
85 | LA Tech | 7 | 5 | USA | 73 |
86 | UL Lafayette | 7 | 6 | SUN | 73 |
87 | UL Monroe | 6 | 6 | SUN | 72 |
88 | Texas Tech | 5 | 7 | B12 | 72 |
89 | Indiana | 5 | 7 | B10 | 67 |
90 | S. Florida | 7 | 5 | AAC | 67 |
91 | UCLA | 3 | 9 | PAC | 67 |
92 | Maryland | 5 | 7 | B10 | 66 |
93 | Wyoming | 6 | 6 | MWC | 64 |
94 | Liberty | 6 | 6 | IND | 62 |
95 | SMU | 5 | 7 | AAC | 59 |
96 | Colorado | 5 | 7 | PAC | 55 |
97 | Old Dominion | 4 | 8 | USA | 54 |
98 | Florida Atl. | 5 | 7 | USA | 49 |
99 | Ole Miss | 5 | 7 | SEC | 49 |
100 | Charlotte | 5 | 7 | USA | 48 |
101 | Illinois | 4 | 8 | B10 | 46 |
102 | Air Force | 5 | 7 | MWC | 41 |
103 | W. Kentucky | 3 | 9 | USA | 41 |
104 | Kansas | 3 | 9 | B12 | 34 |
105 | UMASS | 4 | 8 | MID | 34 |
106 | Oregon St. | 2 | 10 | PAC | 34 |
107 | Coastal Caro. | 5 | 7 | SUN | 31 |
108 | Ball State | 4 | 8 | MID | 30 |
109 | N. Carolina | 2 | 9 | ACC | 28 |
110 | Tulsa | 3 | 9 | AAC | 27 |
111 | Colorado St. | 3 | 9 | MWC | 25 |
112 | Akron | 4 | 8 | MID | 22 |
113 | S. Alabama | 3 | 9 | SUN | 22 |
114 | Bowling Grn | 3 | 9 | MID | 21 |
115 | NM St. | 3 | 9 | IND | 21 |
116 | E. Carolina | 3 | 9 | AAC | 20 |
117 | Rice | 2 | 11 | USA | 20 |
118 | Arkansas | 2 | 10 | SEC | 18 |
119 | Navy | 3 | 9 | AAC | 17 |
120 | Louisville | 2 | 10 | ACC | 16 |
121 | UTSA | 3 | 9 | USA | 16 |
122 | Texas State | 3 | 9 | SUN | 16 |
123 | New Mexico | 3 | 9 | MWC | 14 |
124 | Rutgers | 1 | 11 | B10 | 13 |
125 | Georgia St. | 2 | 10 | SUN | 10 |
126 | Kent State | 2 | 10 | MID | 10 |
127 | San Jose St. | 1 | 11 | MWC | 8 |
128 | UTEP | 1 | 11 | USA | 7 |
129 | C. Mich. | 1 | 11 | MID | 6 |
130 | Connecticut | 1 | 11 | AAC | 6 |
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