I suck at keeping up on this this year. I somehow deleted all my data for last week so I've had to check all those by hand to see how I did. Now for this week, I missed my Tuesday deadline and somehow some morons scheduled games for Wednesday! Why are we playing games on Wednesday? I can understand a few Friday night games, but none should ever be on Wednesday.
So for last week, if my count is correct, I went 27/47 against the spread, including some that Vegas had completely wrong like App. St, with one push and one cancelled game. Not too bad actually.
So anyway here are this week predictions.
- Utah wins big, but I don't know that they cover
- Vegas has Iowa at home. My math says Minnesota. My gut says Minnesota. Sorry @IowaHawkBlog
- The math says Clemson won't cover, but it always says that and they still do
- Baylor wins at home to seal up the BIG 12
- Vegas and I are dead tied for how Penn State wins
Largest Spread of the Week
Tightest Spread of the Week
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
So for last week, if my count is correct, I went 27/47 against the spread, including some that Vegas had completely wrong like App. St, with one push and one cancelled game. Not too bad actually.
So anyway here are this week predictions.
- Utah wins big, but I don't know that they cover
- Vegas has Iowa at home. My math says Minnesota. My gut says Minnesota. Sorry @IowaHawkBlog
- The math says Clemson won't cover, but it always says that and they still do
- Baylor wins at home to seal up the BIG 12
- Vegas and I are dead tied for how Penn State wins
| Away | Home | Vegas | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UCLA | Utah | -21.5 | -18.8 | 2.9 |
| Minnesota | Iowa | -3.0 | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Wake Forest | Clemson | -34.0 | -15.9 | 1.7 |
| Georgia | Auburn | 3.0 | -0.9 | 1.1 |
| Oklahoma | Baylor | 10.0 | -4.6 | 2.0 |
| Indiana | Penn State | -14.5 | -14.6 | 2.9 |
| Away | Home | Vegas | Spread Proj. | Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | -6.4 | 7.9 |
| Louisiana Tech | Marshall | -4.5 | 2.4 | 1.5 |
| FresnoSt. | San Diego St. | -1.0 | -12.0 | 10.9 |
| Wisconsin | Nebraska | 14.5 | 17.9 | 4.5 |
| Massachusetts | Northwestern | -41.0 | -4.4 | 1.9 |
| Kansas | Oklahoma St. | -17.0 | -24.3 | 5.1 |
| Florida | Missouri | 7.0 | 4.7 | 5.5 |
| TCU | Texas Tech | 3.0 | -2.1 | 3.1 |
| Alabama | Miss.State | 17.5 | 13.4 | 7.3 |
| Michigan State | Michigan | -13.5 | -22.9 | 2.7 |
| Tulane | Temple | 6.0 | -3.8 | 0.2 |
| UTEP | UAB | -17.5 | -21.8 | 1.7 |
| Navy | Notre Dame | -7.0 | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Troy | Texas State | 7.0 | -3.1 | 2.3 |
| UL-Monroe | Ga. Southern | -6.5 | -14.5 | 2.0 |
| CCU | ARST | -12.5 | -15.0 | 2.9 |
| Memphis | Houston | 10.5 | 18.5 | 7.1 |
| WestVirginia | Kansas State | -14.0 | -29.0 | 0.5 |
| Kentucky | Vanderbilt | 10.0 | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Texas | Iowa State | -7.0 | 0.2 | 2.3 |
| Ohio State | Rutgers | 52.5 | 40.1 | 19.2 |
| C. Michigan | Ball St. | -2.5 | -1.4 | 1.2 |
| Virginia Tech | Georgia Tech | 6.0 | 14.0 | 10.9 |
| Hawaii | UNLV | 7.0 | 19.2 | 5.8 |
| Wyoming | Utah State | -5.5 | -4.3 | 0.3 |
| Syracuse | Duke | -10.0 | -16.3 | 1.5 |
| Stanford | Washington St. | -10.5 | -6.9 | 2.8 |
| Rice | Middle Tenn. | -14.5 | -11.4 | 1.4 |
| Louisiana | South Alabama | 28.0 | 31.6 | 9.9 |
| Southern Miss | UTSA | 17.0 | 13.3 | 1.2 |
| Cincinnati | South Florida | 14.0 | 17.4 | 5.3 |
| Air Force | Colorado State | 10.5 | 18.4 | 6.1 |
| LSU | Ole Miss | 21.5 | 20.0 | 4.8 |
| South Carolina | Texas A&M | -11.0 | -22.2 | 4.2 |
| Arizona State | Oregon State | 2.5 | 0.2 | 3.1 |
| App. St. | Georgia St. | 16.5 | 1.6 | 5.5 |
| Louisville | NC State | 4.0 | 17.1 | 9.1 |
| New Mexico | Boise State | -28.0 | -34.7 | 2.0 |
| Arizona | Oregon | -27.5 | -33.6 | 1.1 |
| USC | California | 6.0 | 8.1 | 1.6 |
Largest Spread of the Week
| Ohio State | Rutgers | 52.5 | 40.1 | 19.2 |
|---|
Tightest Spread of the Week
| Arizona State | Oregon State | 2.5 | 0.2 | 3.1 |
|---|
Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| Ohio State | Rutgers | 52.5 | 40.1 | 19.2 |
|---|
Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
| Tulane | Temple | 6.0 | -3.8 | 0.2 |
|---|
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