Welcome to the first NEMindex rankings I'm publishing for 2022. Technically the algorithm converged each of the past few weeks, but there were some extremely strange results that made me resist publishing those rankings. This week, they finally look good.
So for those who may be new here, this is a ranking system I developed back in ~2010 in response to the continual disrespect that Utah kept getting in the old BCS rankings. I knew that I could come up with a mathematically-based system that ignored all the biases in the voting systems, given primarily to the legacy teams, and present a clean, unbiased ranking of all FBS teams based purely on in-season performance. I spent a few years tweaking it (and it still could use more) and have been publishing results online for ~10 years.
The system uses only in-season performance and recursively compares every team to every other team until a converged solution of rankings is found. Things obviously get complicated because connections between teams can be many degrees-of-separation away from each other (think Kevin Bacon) but this will find all the connections, weigh them, and sort them into a single list. Obviously I chose all the metrics and weights and functions so in that way my own ideas are inherent here, but I do nothing to push the system in any specific direction. All teams (P5 and G5) start from the same footing and have the same chance to distill to the top.
And here they are, the first rankings of 2022!
I won't spend any time prattling on today and just leave you with the rankings. Fell free to hit me up on Twitter (@NateEMiller) if you have questions or comments.
| Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | RTPS | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tennessee | 6 | 0 | SEC | 1.000 | +3 |
| 2 | Georgia | 7 | 0 | SEC | 0.964 | -1 |
| 3 | TCU | 6 | 0 | B12 | 0.920 | +5 |
| 4 | Ohio State | 6 | 0 | B10 | 0.909 | -2 |
| 5 | Ole Miss | 7 | 0 | SEC | 0.908 | +2 |
| 6 | Clemson | 7 | 0 | ACC | 0.905 | -1 |
| 7 | Michigan | 7 | 0 | B10 | 0.893 | +5 |
| 8 | Alabama | 6 | 1 | SEC | 0.861 | -5 |
| 9 | UCLA | 6 | 0 | PAC | 0.852 | +5 |
| 10 | Syracuse | 6 | 0 | ACC | 0.844 | +3 |
| 11 | USC | 6 | 1 | PAC | 0.783 | -5 |
| 12 | Wake Forest | 5 | 1 | ACC | 0.771 | +6 |
| 13 | Oregon | 5 | 1 | PAC | 0.754 | -2 |
| 14 | Texas | 5 | 2 | B12 | 0.739 | +10 |
| 15 | Penn State | 5 | 1 | B10 | 0.733 | -6 |
| 16 | Utah | 5 | 2 | PAC | 0.721 | +13 |
| 17 | Miss. St. | 5 | 2 | SEC | 0.720 | -7 |
| 18 | Kansas St. | 5 | 1 | B12 | 0.718 | +5 |
| 19 | LSU | 5 | 2 | SEC | 0.705 | +1 |
| 20 | UCF | 5 | 1 | AAC | 0.697 | +12 |
| 21 | Illinois | 6 | 1 | B10 | 0.696 | +6 |
| 22 | Tulane | 6 | 1 | AAC | 0.694 | +4 |
| 23 | Oklahoma St. | 5 | 1 | B12 | 0.685 | -8 |
| 24 | Purdue | 5 | 2 | B10 | 0.658 | +4 |
| 25 | Liberty | 6 | 1 | IND | 0.656 | +5 |
| 26 | Kentucky | 5 | 2 | SEC | 0.654 | +16 |
| 27 | NC State | 5 | 2 | ACC | 0.652 | -6 |
| 28 | N. Carolina | 6 | 1 | ACC | 0.634 | +5 |
| 29 | Maryland | 5 | 2 | B10 | 0.632 | +12 |
| 30 | James Madison | 5 | 1 | SUN | 0.631 | -14 |
| 31 | Oregon St. | 5 | 2 | PAC | 0.622 | +16 |
| 32 | Kansas | 5 | 2 | B12 | 0.622 | -13 |
| 33 | S. Alabama | 5 | 1 | SUN | 0.621 | +3 |
| 34 | Cincinnati | 5 | 1 | AAC | 0.617 | -3 |
| 35 | Troy | 5 | 2 | SUN | 0.611 | +5 |
| 36 | Coastal Caro. | 6 | 1 | SUN | 0.606 | -11 |
| 37 | Arkansas | 4 | 3 | SEC | 0.603 | +8 |
| 38 | S. Carolina | 4 | 2 | SEC | 0.591 | +8 |
| 39 | Oklahoma | 4 | 3 | B12 | 0.586 | +17 |
| 40 | Florida St. | 4 | 3 | ACC | 0.553 | -3 |
| 41 | Notre Dame | 3 | 3 | IND | 0.550 | -24 |
| 42 | Georgia Tech | 3 | 3 | ACC | 0.543 | +9 |
| 43 | San Jose St. | 4 | 2 | MWC | 0.540 | -21 |
| 44 | Wash. | 5 | 2 | PAC | 0.540 | +19 |
| 45 | UAB | 4 | 2 | USA | 0.534 | +4 |
| 46 | UTSA | 5 | 2 | USA | 0.534 | +13 |
| 47 | Pittsburgh | 4 | 2 | ACC | 0.533 | +7 |
| 48 | Air Force | 5 | 2 | MWC | 0.513 | +24 |
| 49 | Houston | 3 | 3 | AAC | 0.508 | -5 |
| 50 | Minnesota | 4 | 2 | B10 | 0.505 | +3 |
| 51 | Buffalo | 4 | 3 | MID | 0.505 | +6 |
| 52 | Toledo | 5 | 2 | MID | 0.504 | +16 |
| 53 | Louisville | 3 | 3 | ACC | 0.502 | +9 |
| 54 | Texas Tech | 3 | 3 | B12 | 0.501 | +4 |
| 55 | Florida | 4 | 3 | SEC | 0.497 | -3 |
| 56 | Wash. St. | 4 | 3 | PAC | 0.496 | -22 |
| 57 | BYU | 4 | 3 | IND | 0.485 | -22 |
| 58 | S. Miss. | 3 | 3 | SUN | 0.484 | +18 |
| 59 | Memphis | 4 | 3 | AAC | 0.482 | -21 |
| 60 | Auburn | 3 | 4 | SEC | 0.480 | -17 |
| 61 | SMU | 3 | 3 | AAC | 0.480 | +14 |
| 62 | Old Dominion | 3 | 3 | SUN | 0.477 | +45 |
| 63 | Georgia So. | 4 | 3 | SUN | 0.474 | +21 |
| 64 | Texas A&M | 3 | 3 | SEC | 0.467 | +3 |
| 65 | App. St. | 3 | 3 | SUN | 0.464 | 0 |
| 66 | E. Carolina | 4 | 3 | AAC | 0.460 | +14 |
| 67 | Boise State | 4 | 2 | MWC | 0.452 | +3 |
| 68 | Duke | 4 | 3 | ACC | 0.450 | -8 |
| 69 | Vanderbilt | 3 | 4 | SEC | 0.448 | +2 |
| 70 | Baylor | 3 | 3 | B12 | 0.448 | -31 |
| 71 | UNLV | 4 | 3 | MWC | 0.448 | -21 |
| 72 | W. Virginia | 3 | 3 | B12 | 0.444 | +11 |
| 73 | Iowa State | 3 | 4 | B12 | 0.435 | -12 |
| 74 | W. Kentucky | 4 | 3 | USA | 0.431 | +13 |
| 75 | Rice | 3 | 3 | USA | 0.430 | -20 |
| 76 | Wyoming | 4 | 3 | MWC | 0.427 | -10 |
| 77 | Iowa | 3 | 3 | B10 | 0.426 | -8 |
| 78 | Utah State | 3 | 4 | MWC | 0.396 | +1 |
| 79 | UL Lafayette | 3 | 3 | SUN | 0.394 | +6 |
| 80 | Indiana | 3 | 4 | B10 | 0.388 | -6 |
| 81 | North Texas | 4 | 3 | USA | 0.380 | +17 |
| 82 | Stanford | 2 | 4 | PAC | 0.375 | +24 |
| 83 | Ball State | 4 | 3 | MID | 0.375 | +21 |
| 84 | Mich. St. | 3 | 4 | B10 | 0.361 | +12 |
| 85 | Missouri | 2 | 4 | SEC | 0.355 | +1 |
| 86 | Miami (FL) | 3 | 3 | ACC | 0.352 | +14 |
| 87 | Ohio | 4 | 3 | MID | 0.351 | +8 |
| 88 | Arizona | 3 | 4 | PAC | 0.350 | -15 |
| 89 | Marshall | 3 | 3 | SUN | 0.349 | -25 |
| 90 | Florida Atl. | 3 | 4 | USA | 0.348 | +23 |
| 91 | San Diego St. | 3 | 3 | MWC | 0.346 | +1 |
| 92 | Wisconsin | 3 | 4 | B10 | 0.344 | -15 |
| 93 | Mid. Tenn. | 3 | 4 | USA | 0.339 | -12 |
| 94 | California | 3 | 3 | PAC | 0.338 | -46 |
| 95 | Arizona St. | 2 | 4 | PAC | 0.336 | -6 |
| 96 | Bowling Grn | 3 | 4 | MID | 0.331 | +5 |
| 97 | Rutgers | 3 | 3 | B10 | 0.331 | -6 |
| 98 | Connecticut | 3 | 5 | IND | 0.327 | -10 |
| 99 | Nebraska | 3 | 4 | B10 | 0.321 | -2 |
| 100 | Miami (OH) | 3 | 4 | MID | 0.321 | -10 |
| 101 | Navy | 2 | 4 | AAC | 0.315 | -23 |
| 102 | Fresno St. | 2 | 4 | MWC | 0.315 | +15 |
| 103 | Virginia | 2 | 4 | ACC | 0.303 | 0 |
| 104 | Arkansas St. | 2 | 5 | SUN | 0.281 | -10 |
| 105 | Georgia St. | 2 | 4 | SUN | 0.281 | +5 |
| 106 | C. Mich. | 2 | 5 | MID | 0.277 | +12 |
| 107 | Kent State | 2 | 5 | MID | 0.275 | -2 |
| 108 | E. Mich. | 4 | 3 | MID | 0.274 | -26 |
| 109 | UL Monroe | 2 | 5 | SUN | 0.269 | -7 |
| 110 | Texas State | 3 | 4 | SUN | 0.266 | -17 |
| 111 | LA Tech | 2 | 4 | USA | 0.263 | -12 |
| 112 | Tulsa | 2 | 4 | AAC | 0.254 | -4 |
| 113 | UTEP | 3 | 4 | USA | 0.242 | -1 |
| 114 | N. Illinois | 2 | 5 | MID | 0.236 | +12 |
| 115 | Army | 2 | 4 | IND | 0.231 | +6 |
| 116 | Temple | 2 | 4 | AAC | 0.218 | -5 |
| 117 | BC | 2 | 4 | ACC | 0.210 | -2 |
| 118 | Virginia Tech | 2 | 5 | ACC | 0.198 | +1 |
| 119 | Colorado | 1 | 5 | PAC | 0.197 | +4 |
| 120 | W. Michigan | 2 | 5 | MID | 0.164 | -4 |
| 121 | Colorado St. | 1 | 5 | MWC | 0.145 | -7 |
| 122 | New Mexico | 2 | 5 | MWC | 0.142 | -13 |
| 123 | S. Florida | 1 | 6 | AAC | 0.141 | -1 |
| 124 | Charlotte | 1 | 6 | USA | 0.109 | +5 |
| 125 | Hawaii | 2 | 5 | MWC | 0.096 | +5 |
| 126 | Florida Int. | 2 | 4 | USA | 0.082 | +1 |
| 127 | Northwestern | 1 | 5 | B10 | 0.079 | -3 |
| 128 | UMASS | 1 | 6 | IND | 0.069 | -3 |
| 129 | Nevada | 2 | 5 | MWC | 0.057 | -9 |
| 130 | Akron | 1 | 6 | MID | 0.041 | -2 |
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
| Auburn | 43.0 |
|---|---|
| Texas Tech | 43.8 |
| Stanford | 45.3 |
| Georgia Tech | 46.3 |
| Houston | 48.0 |
| Colorado | 48.7 |
| Arkansas | 50.0 |
| Florida St. | 52.3 |
| Alabama | 53.1 |
| Oklahoma | 55.1 |
| : | : |
| : | : |
| Ohio | 95.3 |
| UTEP | 96.4 |
| Cincinnati | 97.3 |
| Toledo | 97.4 |
| Boise State | 98.5 |
| Florida Int. | 98.5 |
| Air Force | 100.9 |
| E. Mich. | 102.7 |
| Nevada | 106.3 |
| NM St. | 108.1 |
Average Rank per Conference:
| SEC | 34.7 |
|---|---|
| B12 | 39.8 |
| ACC | 54.1 |
| PAC | 54.8 |
| B10 | 57.6 |
| AAC | 69.4 |
| SUN | 69.9 |
| IND | 85.0 |
| USA | 88.9 |
| MWC | 89.4 |
| MID | 96.2 |
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
| SEC | 59.4 |
|---|---|
| B12 | 63.8 |
| PAC | 66.5 |
| ACC | 69.6 |
| AAC | 74.8 |
| B10 | 75.3 |
| IND | 75.8 |
| SUN | 77.7 |
| MID | 84.0 |
| USA | 84.0 |
| MWC | 86.8 |
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