NEMindex Conference Championship Projections

Ten conference championships this weekend. These projections should be assuming and accounting for all of them being at neutral sites.  I realized yesterday that some of my projections earlier this year were incorrectly missing home field advantage.  Someday I'll actually get this code cleaned up and do some hindcasting and tuning to get rid of all the issues and improve the accuracy.  This is not that day.

 

AwayHomeVegasSpread Proj.Range
North Texas UTSA -8.5 -14.8 0.7
Utah USC -2.5 -3.6 0.2
Kansas State TCU -2.5 -1.7 0.1
Toledo Ohio 1.5 -12.0 1.6
C. Carolina Troy -8.5 -3.3 3.5
Fresno St. Boise St. -3.0 -3.3 0.0
LSU Georgia -17.5 -2.7 0.1
UCF Tulane -4.0 -3.8 0.7
Clemson North Carolina 7.5 3.9 1.1
Purdue Michigan -17.0 -11.8 0.1


Largest Spread of the Week
North Texas UTSA -8.5 -14.8 0.7


Tightest Spread of the Week
Kansas State TCU -2.5 -1.7 0.1


Highest Regression Uncertainty of the Week
C. Carolina Troy -8.5 -3.3 3.5


Least Regression Uncertainty of the Week
Fresno St. Boise St. -3.0 -3.3 0.0


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