Welcome to College Football 2023 and the NEMindex rankings.
For those who may be new here, this is a ranking system I developed back in ~2010 in response to the continual disrespect Utah kept getting in the old BCS rankings. For a few more details go HERE. I knew that I could come up with a mathematically-based system that ignored all the biases in the voting systems, given primarily to the legacy teams, and present a clean, unbiased ranking of all FBS teams based purely on in-season performance. I spent a few years tweaking it (and it still could use more) and have been publishing results online for ~10 years.
The
system uses only in-season performance and recursively compares every
team to every other team until a converged solution of rankings is
found. Things obviously get complicated because connections between
teams can be many degrees-of-separation away from each other (think
Kevin Bacon) but this will find all the connections, weigh them, and
sort them into a single list. Obviously I chose all the metrics and
weights and functions so in that way my own ideas are inherent here, but
I do nothing to push the system in any specific direction. All teams
(P5 and G5) start from the same footing and have the same chance to
distill to the top.
And here they are, the first rankings of 2023!
Fell free to hit me up on Twitter (@NateEMiller) if you have questions or comments.
Rank | Team | W | L | Conf | RTPS | Delta |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Texas | 4 | 0 | B12 | 1.000 | 0 |
2 | Miami (FL) | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.980 | +2 |
3 | Wash. | 4 | 0 | PAC | 0.937 | -1 |
4 | Penn State | 4 | 0 | B10 | 0.919 | +6 |
5 | Ohio State | 4 | 0 | B10 | 0.870 | +4 |
6 | Oklahoma | 4 | 0 | B12 | 0.865 | -3 |
7 | Michigan | 4 | 0 | B10 | 0.841 | +4 |
8 | Utah | 4 | 0 | PAC | 0.793 | +7 |
9 | Wash. St. | 4 | 0 | PAC | 0.781 | +14 |
10 | Texas A&M | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.779 | +28 |
11 | Missouri | 4 | 0 | SEC | 0.777 | +6 |
12 | Oregon | 4 | 0 | PAC | 0.771 | +22 |
13 | Alabama | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.742 | +29 |
14 | Florida St. | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.740 | -6 |
15 | Ole Miss | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.731 | -9 |
16 | N. Carolina | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.722 | -9 |
17 | Kansas | 4 | 0 | B12 | 0.686 | +19 |
18 | Louisville | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.680 | +9 |
19 | Notre Dame | 4 | 1 | IND | 0.673 | -7 |
20 | Duke | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.669 | -6 |
21 | Kansas St. | 3 | 1 | B12 | 0.669 | +34 |
22 | Colorado | 3 | 1 | PAC | 0.667 | -6 |
23 | Maryland | 4 | 0 | B10 | 0.639 | +14 |
24 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | SEC | 0.638 | +2 |
25 | Liberty | 4 | 0 | USA | 0.635 | +8 |
26 | Georgia St. | 4 | 0 | SUN | 0.624 | +9 |
27 | Syracuse | 4 | 0 | ACC | 0.618 | -3 |
28 | James Madison | 4 | 0 | SUN | 0.611 | +11 |
29 | Wisconsin | 3 | 1 | B10 | 0.603 | +14 |
30 | Kentucky | 4 | 0 | SEC | 0.603 | +2 |
31 | Rutgers | 3 | 1 | B10 | 0.595 | -18 |
32 | UCLA | 3 | 1 | PAC | 0.589 | -27 |
33 | USC | 4 | 0 | PAC | 0.575 | -3 |
34 | Fresno St. | 4 | 0 | MWC | 0.573 | -3 |
35 | Marshall | 3 | 0 | SUN | 0.567 | +10 |
36 | Memphis | 3 | 1 | AAC | 0.565 | -11 |
37 | Florida | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.562 | +11 |
38 | Air Force | 4 | 0 | MWC | 0.560 | +2 |
39 | TCU | 3 | 1 | B12 | 0.546 | +20 |
40 | Iowa | 3 | 1 | B10 | 0.545 | -18 |
41 | LSU | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.543 | 0 |
42 | UCF | 3 | 1 | B12 | 0.538 | -21 |
43 | Wyoming | 3 | 1 | MWC | 0.527 | +8 |
44 | Auburn | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.524 | -26 |
45 | Oregon St. | 3 | 1 | PAC | 0.523 | -26 |
46 | Miami (OH) | 3 | 1 | MID | 0.511 | 0 |
47 | Tulane | 3 | 1 | AAC | 0.510 | -19 |
48 | BYU | 3 | 1 | B12 | 0.498 | -28 |
49 | W. Virginia | 3 | 1 | B12 | 0.490 | +14 |
50 | UNLV | 3 | 1 | MWC | 0.485 | +3 |
51 | Georgia Tech | 2 | 2 | ACC | 0.475 | +36 |
52 | Mich. St. | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.472 | -2 |
53 | Illinois | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.471 | +20 |
54 | Georgia So. | 3 | 1 | SUN | 0.455 | +25 |
55 | UL Monroe | 2 | 1 | SUN | 0.452 | +13 |
56 | Coastal Caro. | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.449 | -12 |
57 | Wake Forest | 3 | 1 | ACC | 0.447 | -28 |
58 | Tennessee | 3 | 1 | SEC | 0.438 | +20 |
59 | Ohio | 4 | 1 | MID | 0.436 | +8 |
60 | NC State | 3 | 1 | ACC | 0.432 | +4 |
61 | Jacksonville St. | 3 | 1 | USA | 0.424 | +19 |
62 | S. Carolina | 2 | 2 | SEC | 0.422 | +23 |
63 | Boise State | 2 | 2 | MWC | 0.419 | +14 |
64 | Tulsa | 2 | 2 | AAC | 0.419 | +12 |
65 | Arizona | 3 | 1 | PAC | 0.413 | +9 |
66 | Toledo | 3 | 1 | MID | 0.407 | +33 |
67 | Minnesota | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.402 | -20 |
68 | Troy | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.402 | +41 |
69 | California | 2 | 2 | PAC | 0.402 | -12 |
70 | W. Kentucky | 2 | 2 | USA | 0.399 | -8 |
71 | Northwestern | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.393 | +23 |
72 | Clemson | 2 | 2 | ACC | 0.388 | -11 |
73 | Indiana | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.386 | +13 |
74 | App. St. | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.384 | -9 |
75 | UL Lafayette | 3 | 1 | SUN | 0.382 | +21 |
76 | SMU | 2 | 2 | AAC | 0.374 | -27 |
77 | Texas State | 3 | 1 | SUN | 0.372 | +18 |
78 | Temple | 2 | 2 | AAC | 0.372 | -20 |
79 | Cincinnati | 2 | 2 | B12 | 0.370 | -8 |
80 | Army | 2 | 2 | IND | 0.354 | -10 |
81 | Arkansas St. | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.351 | 0 |
82 | Iowa State | 2 | 2 | B12 | 0.351 | +18 |
83 | Arkansas | 2 | 2 | SEC | 0.345 | -27 |
84 | Florida Int. | 3 | 2 | USA | 0.342 | -15 |
85 | Colorado St. | 1 | 2 | MWC | 0.336 | +25 |
86 | S. Florida | 2 | 2 | AAC | 0.334 | +28 |
87 | Miss. St. | 2 | 2 | SEC | 0.329 | -21 |
88 | Nebraska | 2 | 2 | B10 | 0.327 | +9 |
89 | Rice | 2 | 2 | USA | 0.326 | -35 |
90 | Vanderbilt | 2 | 3 | SEC | 0.309 | -6 |
91 | C. Mich. | 2 | 2 | MID | 0.303 | +14 |
92 | San Diego St. | 2 | 3 | MWC | 0.296 | -32 |
93 | S. Alabama | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.294 | -41 |
94 | Houston | 2 | 2 | B12 | 0.286 | +21 |
95 | Navy | 1 | 2 | AAC | 0.280 | -12 |
96 | Stanford | 1 | 3 | PAC | 0.279 | -6 |
97 | Purdue | 1 | 3 | B10 | 0.277 | -15 |
98 | Texas Tech | 1 | 3 | B12 | 0.275 | 0 |
99 | Bowling Grn | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.273 | -11 |
100 | Utah State | 1 | 3 | MWC | 0.272 | -9 |
101 | Charlotte | 1 | 3 | USA | 0.266 | -9 |
102 | Baylor | 1 | 3 | B12 | 0.259 | +11 |
103 | Ball State | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.240 | -14 |
104 | E. Mich. | 2 | 2 | MID | 0.227 | -32 |
105 | San Jose St. | 1 | 4 | MWC | 0.226 | +1 |
106 | E. Carolina | 1 | 3 | AAC | 0.220 | +18 |
107 | W. Michigan | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.208 | -14 |
108 | UAB | 1 | 3 | USA | 0.199 | +17 |
109 | Old Dominion | 2 | 2 | SUN | 0.196 | +14 |
110 | S. Miss. | 1 | 3 | SUN | 0.192 | -9 |
111 | Oklahoma St. | 2 | 2 | B12 | 0.186 | -36 |
112 | New Mexico | 2 | 2 | MWC | 0.183 | +18 |
113 | Akron | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.178 | -11 |
114 | Arizona St. | 1 | 3 | PAC | 0.175 | -7 |
115 | Pittsburgh | 1 | 3 | ACC | 0.160 | +5 |
116 | BC | 1 | 3 | ACC | 0.158 | +5 |
117 | Mid. Tenn. | 1 | 3 | USA | 0.154 | -13 |
118 | Kent State | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.154 | -15 |
119 | Virginia Tech | 1 | 3 | ACC | 0.148 | 0 |
120 | Hawaii | 2 | 3 | MWC | 0.141 | +12 |
121 | UTSA | 1 | 3 | USA | 0.140 | +1 |
122 | Virginia | 0 | 4 | ACC | 0.135 | +4 |
123 | NM St. | 2 | 3 | USA | 0.118 | -6 |
124 | UTEP | 1 | 4 | USA | 0.112 | +9 |
125 | Florida Atl. | 1 | 3 | USA | 0.107 | -7 |
126 | Connecticut | 0 | 4 | IND | 0.107 | +2 |
127 | N. Illinois | 1 | 3 | MID | 0.099 | 0 |
128 | LA Tech | 2 | 3 | USA | 0.096 | -16 |
129 | North Texas | 1 | 2 | USA | 0.088 | -13 |
130 | Buffalo | 0 | 4 | MID | 0.083 | +1 |
131 | UMASS | 1 | 4 | IND | 0.077 | -23 |
132 | Nevada | 0 | 4 | MWC | 0.068 | -3 |
133 | Sam Houston | 0 | 3 | USA | 0.001 | -22 |
Hardest Schedule Played per Team:
Virginia | 42.3 |
---|---|
Connecticut | 47.5 |
Colorado St. | 49.3 |
Purdue | 52.3 |
Illinois | 53.0 |
Texas A&M | 53.3 |
Alabama | 54.8 |
Baylor | 55.0 |
Charlotte | 55.0 |
Colorado | 56.0 |
: | : |
: | : |
Florida Int. | 108.4 |
Liberty | 109.0 |
Kentucky | 110.0 |
Arizona | 110.3 |
USC | 111.8 |
Fresno St. | 115.8 |
Air Force | 118.0 |
Marshall | 119.7 |
UL Lafayette | 120.3 |
Texas State | 122.3 |
Average Rank per Conference:
PAC | 42.3 |
---|---|
SEC | 43.2 |
B10 | 45.7 |
B12 | 56.4 |
ACC | 57.8 |
SUN | 67.2 |
AAC | 73.5 |
MWC | 81.2 |
IND | 89.0 |
MID | 96.9 |
USA | 102.5 |
Hardest Cumulative Schedules Played per Conference:
B10 | 70.2 |
---|---|
AAC | 73.1 |
IND | 73.6 |
SEC | 79.0 |
ACC | 79.2 |
B12 | 79.6 |
MWC | 80.2 |
MID | 80.6 |
PAC | 82.0 |
USA | 83.6 |
SUN | 91.0 |
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