IowaHawkBlog's Marble Game through Week 13

Ohio State's big win was enough to move them past Clemson, who took a bye this week, up to 2nd place.  Seems like a more reasonable order to the top three to me given the state of the ACC right now.  Utah can't catch a break.  Even with Oregon losing and with covering the spread against Arizona, it still wasn't enough to move them up as they got jumped by UGA and therefore remain in the 6 spot.  Georgia already locked up the division, and assuming they beat GT this week, they could probably make the playoff if they beat LSU in the SEC championship.  If LSU wins that one, I don't think the committee will put in a 2-loss team over a possible 1-loss team in Oklahoma or Utah (assuming they win their respective championships).

Some of the big games this week: Ohio St at Michigan (102 vs 125 marble gain potential), Oklahoma at Oklahoma St (80 vs 102), Wisconsin at Minnesota (97 vs 67), Alabama at Auburn (51 vs 68), and Cincy at Memphis (72 vs 54).

I've also posted the rankings based on David's Degree's of Separation technique.  In it, each team gets points for each win, and also then gets points for each win that the opponents they've beaten get.  The version of that ranking using a logarithmic weighting for the degrees of separation has Ohio St, LSU, and Clemson in the top three spots.  More details and the rankings can be found here.

The rules for how this works:
- Each P5 team started the season with 200 marbles, each G5 started with 100.
- For each home win you take 20% of your opponents marbles. For each road win you take 25%.
- Neutral site games are treated like home games (worth 20%) for each team.
- Notre Dame and BYU were given the privilege of starting with 200 marbles.
- Fractional marbles get rounded to whole marbles at the time when they are moved from one team to the other.

If you have any feedback or questions or see any issues feel free to reach out to the commissioner, David Burge (@IowaHawkBlog) or myself (@NateEMiller) on Twitter.

RankTeamWLConfMarblesChange
1LSU 11 0 SEC 637 0, +6
2Ohio State 11 0 B10 625 +1, +89
3Clemson 11 0 ACC 608 -1, 0
4Oklahoma 10 1 B12 511 +1, +29
5Georgia 10 1 SEC 503 +2, +40
6Utah 10 1 PAC 495 0, +22
7Michigan 9 2 B10 407 +5, +50
8Oregon 9 2 PAC 405 -4, -101
9Baylor 10 1 B12 401 +2, +43
10Notre Dame 9 2 IND 395 0, +23
11Minnesota 10 1 B10 389 -2, +8
12Penn State 9 2 B10 355 -4, -89
13Florida 9 2 SEC 348 0, 0
14Alabama 10 1 SEC 339 0, 0
15Wisconsin 9 2 B10 334 0, +21
16Iowa 8 3 B10 329 +1, +45
17Oklahoma St. 8 3 B12 318 -1, +33
18USC 8 4 PAC 305 +1, +34
19Virginia Tech 8 3 ACC 290 +5, +48
20Memphis 10 1 AAC 288 -2, +12
21Boise State 10 1 MWC 282 +2, +30
22Cincinnati 10 1 AAC 272 +4, +33
23App. St. 10 1 SUN 269 -2, +6
24Virginia 8 3 ACC 249 +3, +14
25Air Force 9 2 MWC 229 +3, +4
26Louisville 7 4 ACC 229 +6, +16
27Arizona St. 6 5 PAC 223 +32, +101
28Iowa State 7 4 B12 223 +5, +12
29Wake Forest 8 3 ACC 220 +6, +13
30Miami (FL) 6 5 ACC 214 -10, -54
31BYU 7 4 IND 212 +3, +3
32Kansas St. 7 4 B12 207 +7, +22
33Navy 8 2 AAC 205 +12, +51
34SMU 9 2 AAC 204 -12, -51
35Tennessee 6 5 SEC 204 +5, +26
36Auburn 8 3 SEC 202 0, 0
37Pittsburgh 7 4 ACC 192 -12, -48
38Illinois 6 5 B10 180 -9, -45
39Wash. 6 5 PAC 176 -9, -44
40Texas 6 5 B12 171 -9, -43
41UL Lafayette 9 2 SUN 162 +7, +15
42Colorado 5 6 PAC 160 +23, +44
43Texas A&M 7 4 SEC 159 -6, -40
44UCF 8 3 AAC 158 +6, +20
45Wash. St. 6 5 PAC 156 +12, +32
46Florida St. 6 5 ACC 153 +1, 0
47Indiana 7 4 B10 148 -9, -50
48Nevada 7 4 MWC 142 +6, +12
49Florida Atl. 8 3 USA 137 +6, +8
50Hawaii 8 4 MWC 135 +18, +31
51California 6 5 PAC 134 +18, +31
52UCLA 4 7 PAC 134 -11, -34
53Kentucky 6 5 SEC 133 -2, 0
54Temple 7 4 AAC 130 -12, -33
55Oregon St. 5 6 PAC 128 -12, -32
56Arkansas St. 7 4 SUN 127 +16, +26
57Marshall 7 4 USA 126 -13, -31
58W. Kentucky 7 4 USA 125 +16, +31
59San Diego St. 8 3 MWC 123 -13, -31
60W. Michigan 7 4 MID 122 +1, 0
61C. Mich. 7 4 MID 116 +3, 0
62UAB 8 3 USA 115 +17, +27
63Miami (OH) 7 4 MID 114 +3, +1
64TCU 5 6 B12 114 -15, -29
65LA Tech 8 3 USA 106 -13, -27
66Buffalo 6 5 MID 105 +15, +19
67Georgia St. 7 4 SUN 105 +3, +2
68Florida Int. 6 5 USA 104 +35, +54
69Georgia So. 6 5 SUN 102 -13, -26
70Wyoming 7 4 MWC 100 +6, +10
71W. Virginia 4 7 B12 99 -18, -33
72BC 5 6 ACC 93 -9, -23
73Charlotte 6 5 USA 93 +21, +31
74S. Miss. 7 4 USA 92 -16, -31
75E. Mich. 6 5 MID 91 +11, +18
76Stanford 4 7 PAC 91 -16, -31
77S. Carolina 4 7 SEC 90 -2, 0
78N. Carolina 5 6 ACC 89 -1, 0
79Utah State 6 5 MWC 88 -17, -30
80Mich. St. 5 6 B10 85 +4, +10
81Purdue 4 7 B10 85 -14, -21
82Nebraska 5 6 B10 84 +6, +13
83Toledo 6 5 MID 78 -10, -19
84Missouri 5 6 SEC 76 -13, -26
85Miss. St. 5 6 SEC 72 +2, 0
86UL Monroe 5 6 SUN 71 +9, +9
87Texas Tech 4 7 B12 66 -9, -22
88Arizona 4 7 PAC 65 -8, -22
89Kent State 5 6 MID 63 +9, +10
90Syracuse 4 7 ACC 62 -7, -16
91Ohio 5 6 MID 61 +9, +9
92Tulane 6 5 AAC 61 -10, -20
93Georgia Tech 3 8 ACC 59 +14, +13
94Troy 5 6 SUN 59 -9, -15
95Liberty 6 5 IND 55 -5, -14
96Vanderbilt 3 8 SEC 55 +1, 0
97Duke 4 7 ACC 53 -6, -13
98Ole Miss 4 7 SEC 53 +1, 0
99N. Illinois 4 7 MID 52 -10, -18
100NC State 4 7 ACC 52 -7, -13
101Tulsa 3 8 AAC 49 -9, -17
102Kansas 3 8 B12 47 -6, -12
103Houston 4 7 AAC 43 +16, +17
104Ball State 4 7 MID 41 -3, -10
105Colorado St. 4 7 MWC 40 -3, -10
106San Jose St. 4 7 MWC 38 -1, -9
107Army 5 6 IND 37 +5, 0
108Maryland 3 8 B10 37 -4, -13
109Coastal Caro. 4 7 SUN 36 0, -9
110Mid. Tenn. 4 7 USA 35 +4, +2
111Fresno St. 4 7 MWC 34 -5, -12
112S. Florida 4 7 AAC 34 -4, -12
113North Texas 4 7 USA 31 -2, -8
114Rutgers 2 9 B10 30 -4, -10
115Rice 2 9 USA 29 +6, +8
116UNLV 3 8 MWC 29 +6, +9
117Bowling Grn 3 8 MID 27 -4, -9
118E. Carolina 4 7 AAC 27 +2, +5
119UTSA 4 7 USA 24 -4, -8
120Arkansas 2 9 SEC 22 -3, -6
121Northwestern 2 9 B10 22 -5, -8
122Texas State 3 8 SUN 22 -4, -6
123Connecticut 2 9 AAC 13 0, -5
124NM St. 2 9 IND 13 +1, +2
125New Mexico 2 9 MWC 12 -1, -4
126Old Dominion 1 10 USA 8 +1, -2
127S. Alabama 1 10 SUN 8 +1, -2
128UTEP 1 10 USA 8 +1, -2
129UMASS 1 11 MID 7 -3, -3
130Akron 0 11 MID 6 0, -1


Average rank of all opponents played per team:
UCLA 40.2
USC 45.1
Texas 46.2
Notre Dame 49.4
Mich. St. 49.5
Wash. 50.5
N. Carolina 51.2
Stanford 51.2
Arizona 51.3
Colorado 51.4
: :
: :
Florida Int. 90.1
Wyoming 90.1
San Diego St. 90.2
UL Lafayette 91.1
North Texas 91.2
Liberty 91.5
Troy 91.8
LA Tech 94.0
UMASS 97.3
UAB 100.7


Average rank of all teams per conference:
PAC 42.3
B12 45.4
B10 52.4
ACC 53.1
SEC 54.3
AAC 71.3
IND 73.4
MWC 76.3
SUN 79.4
USA 86.9
MID 89.8


Average rank of all opponents played per conference:
PAC 52.1
B12 59.4
B10 61.6
ACC 63.4
SEC 65.0
AAC 75.1
IND 76.6
MWC 79.5
SUN 80.5
MID 82.5
USA 84.5

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